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Economy•October 3, 2026

Links 10/3/2026 Plus Short Iran War/Narrative Note | naked capitalism

Our scary daily links: pet food toxicity, modern architecture uglies, Russia bans diesel exports unless sanctions go, ozone pollutions, EU energy-produced inflation, India v. Trump. Venezuela toadies to Trump, moar on Is...

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  • Bugs

    Re the “De-Dollarization Is a YouTube Urban Legend” post, it seemed so obvious to me that the crowd that keeps chanting the mantra that dedollarization in imminent is far from the mark (look at the transaction stats – and since I do multijurisdctional commercial contracts, it’s a material fact). Perhaps some of the commenters didn’t have anything to add? That doesn’t mean it was not a really valuable post and I’ll likely share it when needed.

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    1. Samuel Conner

      I too had nothing to comment about — prior arguments had already convinced me. I see that I should have left at least a brief “Thank you”.

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    2. Robert Hahl

      It was a good link. I didn’t comment on it but that doesn’t mean I wasn’t interested. My commenting rate is way down generally on all social media.

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    3. Afro

      I personally didn’t read it. Whether I read a particular article depends partly on the day it’s posted, some days are busier than others and I’m personally overwhelmed.

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      1. Jason Boxman

        I did read it, I think, but I find generally that I’m time constrained as well, particularly as a slow reader. I’m always amazed at those that can finish dense novels in a week, when such reading would take me months.

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    4. JohnnyGL

      The de-dollarization post was a sobering reminder that there’s a long way to go before we see real, material changes in the structure of the global financial architecture.

      It was a good post, please don’t be discouraged.

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    5. Michaelmas

      YS: Being completely ignored says this audience has very little appetite for analysis…either on finance topics generally or on findings that do not conform to erroneous but emotionally appealing story lines.

      I appreciated the de-dollarization piece and found it persuasive, though I didn’t comment.

      Much as anyone might wish the speedier collapse of the US empire — and clearly it is collapsing — the historical example of how long pound sterling hung on as the global reserve currency, as the British empire shrunk to almost nothing, is instructive.

      And the pre‑1914 sterling system didn’t produce large‑scale offshore sterling credit creation by non‑British banks comparable to eurodollars — the dollar-denominated credit creation by foreign banks (primarily, the City) that’s happened since the 1950s, to the extent that something like 90 percent of the ‘dollars’ out there globally may be that.

      God knows how that structural situation is going to play out.

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      1. Camelotkidd

        Thanks for everything you do Yves. I, like most of the commentariat, don’t know what I would do without NC. It just gets depressing sometimes.
        Sorry about your health insurance travails. We need many more Luigi’s

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      2. Travis Bickle

        Another reaction to that parting line….

        On the one hand you don’t want to be a scold, telling readers they have to eat their broccoli. OTOH, it’s in no one’s best interest to skew your reporting and essentially pander to biases that don’t usefully address The Situation.

        One idea to address the friction is to just carry on with your own sense of what is correct/balanced/useful. When you know it’s going to encounter resistance or be ignored, give a bit of warning, and more fully develop the context. You could then make the post a bit more succinct in recognition of the lack of attention to be expected from unwanted input.

        Just ideas. Big One: Trust Yourself.

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    6. Hank Linderman

      I trust the judgement of NC to present me with things I don’t already know about, and even if I don’t *like* what is being said I ponder / consider it. The “De-Dollarization” article made sense to me, I’m interested in hearing more, but I had no need to comment.

      You’re doing fine NC – meaning I am routinely challenged and informed. Thank you.

      Best…H

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    7. lyman alpha blob

      I read that one and did not have anything to add, but I did appreciate it.

      I do like the anti-globalists’ take on things in general, but when they start talking economics, I tend to tune out, The first time I saw the Duran guys bring on David Sacks, I realized maybe global finance was not their forte.

      Please do keep up posts like that one, Yves.

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      1. Laughingsong

        Seconded. The take here seems clearer of mind than much of the internet. I very much enjoy (and need) both posts that kick around my priors and posts that are opposite what seems more likely, and of course posts from “the other side” (meaning those posts that Yves prefaces with something like “Here’s something for the commentariat to shred”).

        I stated in a comment yesterday that because of the intensity, confusion, and, well, horrors that seem to be happening, and how out-of-step I’ve become with family and friends, that I come here to feel a little more normal. The problem I now have is that I’ve started using my comments to vent my fear and frustration, usually with humor but still.

        I don’t want to be a reason for erudite commentators to flee. This site both deserves and needs those people. As of now I’m committed to improving the quality of any comments I contribute, and stay silent or simply thank writers and commentators for helpful comments when appropriate.

        I was chastened by Expat2Uruguay, and saddened to hear raspberry jam decamped. I don’t want anyone else to do so.

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    8. Lena

      I read that post and countless others at NC. They keep me informed. But I have problems these days focusing on and processing information amid the chaos. AI? Gaza? Iran? Ukraine? Basically everything falling apart? Look, over there! No, over here! Here, there, everywhere! It’s mental whiplash. I no longer know what to say or how to say it. Perhaps others are experiencing the same. Maybe it is brain fog. Maybe something else. A lot of us are dealing with illnesses.

      Here we are in October of 2026. Where did the time go? I sometimes look back at comments I made on websites years ago and think “Did I write that? I used to be smart. What happened to me?” I don’t comment much anymore for fear of sounding stupid and also because of exhaustion, not for lack of interest.

      Thank you to Yves and all the writers at NC for their hard work. You manage to keep going in spite of everything. Please know it is appreciated.

      I’m sorry for this low quality comment.

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      1. ambrit

        That’s not a “low quality” comment. It gets to the heart of some basic factors that influence both the quantity and “quality” of comments.
        Roughly, the Zeitgeist today is “Sick and Tired.”
        Stay safe and sane through your ordeal.

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      2. Judith

        Thank you. It is hard to know what to think or say anymore. Waiting for the worst to happen, wishing for some sign of hope.

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      3. Lovell

        I love NC articles.

        I love the NC commentariat.

        I read, but rarely post comments.

        Sick and tired of the unjustified, totally unprovoked totally unnecessary Insane Trump (IT) war in Iran and the global suffering it generates and the fact that there’s not much pushback or protest from our own domestic population.

        Who wins or lose or which side has the upperhand is of little interest because, in the end, everybody suffers.

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    9. Huey

      Also came here to say this. The vast majorify of articles that I read here are on topics I can’t contribute to; apart from the occassional question/quip.

      I appreciated the de-dollarization post. I’ve also always wondered if there wasn’t a way to get a (human) page-view count, or something similar, as a measure of activity? Personally, if I don’t find the headline interesting I won’t click. I would really hate for great posts/beats to get dropped due to just an apparent lack of interest.

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      1. earthling

        I don’t think it was lack of interest, I think it is readers acknowledging that Yves is a trained and experienced economist. If she wrote a piece on an idea, she probably feels strongly about it. If you are not equally armed with expertise in economics, then don’t bring a wet noodle to a gunfight. So really what was demonstrated was all of us being sharp enough to realize this and yield the floor.

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        1. barefoot charley

          I didn’t read the article because I was already convinced de-dollarization is years away, from reading previous NC articles. I think comment quality reflects the currently dismal signal-to-noise ratios in our news, which is increasingly just war-fog. The information wars are practically kinetic, What’s worth saying about it? Or learning from it?

          Luckily, the previous commentary here still guides us through. You’re doing the best that can be done, Yves. I couldn’t think I’m sane without you.

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        2. skippy

          Lmmao … pro tip … don’t call YS an economist … lest you feel her sitting stick … I have …

          Sigh … the issue with economics is its been so bastardized via slavish Newtonian ideas, wealthy funded ideological agendas dressed up as science to gaslight the uniformed, et al. Economics is political theory and a side of natural history, nothing more. That some tried/pushed to make it something it was not and then use it as a burning bush all must obey lest gravity ends and we all float off into space.

          Ugh orthodox econ has no criminology too it [waves at Bill Black/Sam Hall] its just econometrics detached from society [TINA]. Then there is monetary theory of just the last 200 yrs. Gold standard free floating, Gld post Fed sets price, now pure fiat with floating FX price. Yet at the end of the day elites set the agenda and the social narrative as they own the means to information where price is the bar of T or F and how much you can spam it = waves at AI.

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    10. DGE

      Personally, I think how valuable a post is depends on where you’re coming from. I’ll confess that I wasn’t interested in that post for two reasons.

      One, I reached NC only recently, but I read on economics from a Marxian point of view. My favourite writer on the topic is Michael Roberts, whose columns are featured in the Links section here every now and then. Dr Roberts has always argued that dedollarisation is at best a very long term outcome: the dollar’s dominance may be not so absolute as it was, but it will be the dominant currency for the foreseeable future, for many of the same reasons our hostess outlines. So for me, it was conventional wisdom.

      And second, because while our hostess hadn’t written a full-fledged post on it in recent times, she had outlined her main arguments cogently in comments lots of times since I started reading NC (earlier this year when the War on Iran broke out). I don’t read all comments, but I always read hers.

      So when the post came, I confess I thought it wasn’t timely in the sense that the subject was already exhausted among the NC audience. Maybe one year from now would have been more strategic. I’d be surprised if NC readers, especially veteran ones, weren’t already convinced dedollarisation is poor analysis and wishful thinking.

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    11. .Tom

      I read it and shared it with a friend too impressed by some of those BRICS dedolaraization alarmists on youtube but didn’t comment because I had nothing to add. Actually I’ve been so busy recently that I haven’t had enough time for NC commenting and I’ve even been falling behind on reading it.

      This reader does not seek news that confirms priors. That’s part of why I donate to NC.

      There are two kinds of things often blended together in the newsish media: information and sermons. I like both. On the information side I am ready to be wrong, ignorant, and disappointed. NC has been solid on delivering information. In order to learn I have to be prepared to be shown to be wrong or ignorant and news is often disappointing.

      Sermons are good too. They encourage and embolden, strengthen one’s moral resolve, stiffen the conscience, and challenge one’s values and philosophy. This isn’t usually the main meal in NC posts but some commenters are good at it. Rifat Jawaid and Chris Hedges are good at newsish sermons.

      What I see a lot of on substack and youtube etc. is media producers who have gotten a big audience by delivering a mix and it can get weird and extreme. I don’t want to name any but there are writers and pundits I admire that I tend to avoid because they get repetitive and seem to be aiming to please their audience. This is a risk when sermons and information get mixed.

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    12. none

      I think I looked at the title, nodded and figured that if there was a post about it it on NC then it must be true, figured I might get around to reading it but otherwise accepted it as calling out more youtube idiocy, and went about my day.

      Also I’ve been a bit more slammed than usual recently so haven’t been reading or commenting as much.

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    13. Dr. John Carpenter

      +1 for read it, appreciated it, had nothing constructive to add. Anymore, I feel I have little constructive to contribute to much of anything (I definitely felt I was included in the “peanut gallery” being referred to previously.) I’ll probably be commenting less both due to my time getting shorter and having less worthwhile to say.

      But the effort here is 100% appreciated either way. (And for what it’s worth, I appreciate the snark too. Somedays you have to laugh to keep from crying. Snark, sarcasm and words feel like one of the only defenses we have left in the current day.)

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      1. Butch

        +2. I guess I’ll say thank you more often, since it’s usually the only thing I can say without feeling like the dumbest one in this room. This site is all ways a daily stop for me and seriously makes me better informed. I’ve long thought dedollarization is overhyped base on the slow demise of pound sterling, but your article and prior statements taught me much about what it takes to be a reserve currency. Thank you. I truly hope xpat was just having a bad day, because I appreciate her voice, but I like Nate’s work.

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        1. Joe Renter

          3 +
          I am constantly humbled in trying to figure economics in general. My niche is not something most are interested in, so I just comment from the peanut gallery mindset. I owe this blog and it’s commentary much thanks for expanding my synapses, or least keep them firing to some degree. Here is something for you… it hot here in CA. Lastly I will contribute to the fundraising soon. Not working and S.S. doesn’t cover the bills.

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          1. .Tom

            Me2.

            It’s weird. For nearly 25 years I was a systems engineer in area of high-speed networks and switching systems, performance of which is complex and important. Among my engineer colleagues I was, with one exception through those years, the most numerate among them. My career since then has only gotten me into more complex technical stuff. But when I’m confronted with NC on macro economics, finance, yields, basis points, double entry book keeping, foreign exchange, and their interconnected system dynamics, I really suffer. Yves and the gang write as though they swim through it like a fish through water. Not me.

            Fantastic toucan pic today. Since the late 90s there has been a plush toucan from FAO Schwarz on my desk. For a while in an office in Maynard it lived in a ficus tree near my desk. Today it hangs out together with two penguins and three puffins.

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    14. Mikel

      Another thing to add:

      YouTube is where so many crypto influencers run wild. A big sales pitch has been “buy crypto and become a master of the universe when the financial system collapses.”
      Any problems with the dollar that could be hyped fed that narrative.

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    15. chris

      Adding to the chorus saying the article was appreciated and I had little to offer in the way of comments.

      That topic remains an excellent example of how much needs to change before the clouds part and we are blessed with the perfect future so many yearn for… which of course won’t happen easily. Or peacefully. Or without a lot of chaos.

      Count me in the crowd that cannot believe the current conditions are as long lasting and durable as they have proven to be. It’s not just Trump putting his fingers in the holes that keep popping up in the markets and the narrative. It is the whole of established civilization that came out of WWII. I would not have believed that until this year. I am scared of what they will do next to preserve their grip on their world.

      I’m concerned enough that their scare tactics are already working on me. There are a number of journalists I would like to support. Yet I hold off on sending them a Vemmo or PayPal or Kofi or Substack sub because what happens if that transaction is used against me? “We’re so sorry. You no longer bank here.” This is something that either party in the US would do. There is no safe way to contribute in private or protest in public. Voting doesn’t change anything either.

      About as far as I feel safe going is sending my monthly sub to NC. But who knows how long we’ll be able to do that without people asking questions? Especially if it becomes common protocol for everyone to have verified user IDs to prove they’re not children? I feel lost. Drowning in bad news that foretell worse outcomes. I appreciate NC for the lighthouse it is in these dark times.

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    16. Lynn

      Yves, please also know that there are people who never comment for various reasons (like me) but still very much appreciate the contrarian views. I bet there are lots of us. I read the De-Dollarization post for exactly that reason. Even for us non-commenters, please never doubt that this site is extremely important!!

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    17. Louiedog14

      I’ll pile on.

      I’m of the ‘remain silent and be thought a fool rather than open my mouth and remove all doubt’ school of internet commenting.

      My hope has been that my yearly donation and brief accompanying quip (over many years) lets you know how much I appreciate and learn from your writing.

      In my youth, I thought my 2 cents was pretty valuable. Many years later, through some wisdom and inflation, I realize my two cents won’t even get you a penny candy.

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    18. Pelham

      “Why should I bother telling readers what is going on when no one is interested?”

      Count me among the interested. Actually, vitally interested. The last thing I want is a cheering section, ESPECIALLY for something I would be inclined to want or agree with. I need reality, and NC is one of very, very few sources I trust.

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      1. Yves Smith Post author

        Thanks for this and other positive reactions.

        I do have to remember that the post that got an SEC official to resign also got <10 comments.

        It's just that in the old days (GFC, taper tantrum, Cyprus and Greek crisis, furor over pending S&P downgrade of Treasuries, which we correctly said would be a nothingburger), the finance posts got LOTS of comments. CalPERS had a clutch of regulars, as did private equity. So few responses is a departure to what I had become accustomed to.

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        1. skippy

          Amends lass …

          People are getting overwhelmed by the speed of events and seemingly whack responses by people/govs in the West and nowhere to run too. Gosh here in Oz its mad as Hanson and ON party funded by Gina Rinehart paint the Labour party as a bunch of commies with a side of immigrants destroying society and the economy. Never mind the GFC/Covid/incoming oil shock/”super” El Niño ….

          Heck now days I spend more time on X dealing with things here in my patch and supporting people like Steve Hall [Bill Black adjacent] and some PKE/MMT sorts. That said I hope readers understand NC is a bad ass archive of knowledge which can be used to inform others. I can not imagine one source/site that has such a wide range bibliography which to refer too. Kudos …

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    19. Corrigo ergo sum

      Like many above, I didn’t need persuading on the topic and time seems increasingly short so I didn’t even read the post, let alone comment. I think it is healthy that NC can contain “repeat” posts on core topics that regulars may skip but fresh readers will value.

      I still read Links daily and I always look for the Iran post. Other posts are a bonus! I rather like the Sunday feature but it can be a rabbithole of time.

      I have noticed the absence of some of the regular commenters and I trust they are well and just experiencing the same need to ration their attention in an ADHD world. This year is proving difficult for me in career and financial terms (costs up like you would not believe, income down) and with some family issues on top so I just assume the rest of the world is also bending its back to the harness and is head-down, putting one hoof in front of the other….

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    20. Not Qualified to Comment

      As my moniker suggests, many of the articles – particularly the financial ones – in NC are way out of my league and I don’t comment directly on the content because I have nothing useful to add. I don’t remember this particular one but its title suggests it would fall into this category.

      Nevertheless if I have time I do read them – and the comments – and more often than not come away with at least some inkling of an argument or problem of which I was previously totally unaware and which can throw some context into what’s going on in the wider world generally. “Aha!” moments are regrettably rare but knowing more that I did before, even if it adds the the known unknowns, is in my view better than living ignorant of all the unknown unknowns surrounding me.

      This is why NC is so valuable to me.

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    21. samm

      For my own very small part, I generally do not comment because I have nothing to add. I too read that piece and also felt it a very important post. Everyone talks about dedollarization, and it’s extremely important to publicly say we are getting ahead of ourselves in the rhetoric on that front.

      The only thing I can add to the topic is I would caution against rating the value of a post based on the number of comments it has. Particularly since the post in question was one of those posts where there isn’t a lot to add. It was a much needed chastening, and bad news to most readers here. Some people would be mad, but even they need a dose of realism.

      At any rate, I hope I’ve outlined how a low number of comments can mean something else than lack of interest!

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  • The Rev Kev

    “Putin says Russia won’t supply diesel to global markets until sanctions are lifted”

    The guys got a point. You can’t have it where the west is trying to block Russian exports of oil and gas to the point of attacking Russian oil infrastructure and tankers but then suddenly say that that will be gracious enough to let them export diesel as they are in a bit of a hole at the moment. Trump might relent but the EU countries would rather let their people freeze before giving an inch. Then they will congratulate each other on their moral courage as they go back to their heated homes.

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    1. John k

      Something seems off. I’ve heard ukr is using us targeting info to attack the Russian refineries. if true, and us really doesn’t like what ukr is doing, they could stop supplying that targeting, no? Freely speculating now… what if trump or family somehow profits from massive us diesel export profits that will go higher if Russia can’t export diesel?

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  • Mark Gisleson

    Speaking only for myself, I find it difficult to comment when my real bottom line is that our entire leadership class needs to be slammed to the ground and handcuffed while someone’s knee presses against their neck.

    I have not been this frustrated since it became clear that millions of protesters weren’t enough to stop the blatantly illegal invasion of Iraq. I try to stay engaged but the more you know the easier it is to feel like a deer caught in a truck’s headlights.

    The collective West is led by insane warmongers who have viciously suppressed dissent. The only good news I’m aware of is the fact that they still haven’t shut down Naked Capitalism, one of the last objective news sites we have.

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    1. The Rev Kev

      It certainly answers a few questions for me. Like how is it that the people of 1914 were so easily lead into a catastrophic war. Or more to the point, how is it that Germans could follow the Nazis and go all in on war in 1939. All it takes is incompetent leadership, a media that has been cowed into servility, weak institutions and non stop propaganda. It became fashionable after WW2 to criticize the German national character that led to them letting the Nazis take charge and say that it was because of the Teuterburg Wald or perhaps the 30 Year War or something or other. But in doing so the lesson was lost that this could happen in any country and was just not German specific. And here we are.

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      1. forgot

        According to german social scientist Dr. Stephan Marks the Nazis leveraged the feeling of shame. His book “Warum folgten sie Hitler” (translates as Why did they follow Hitler) the Nazis focussed on the emotional needs of a traumatised populous. Sounds eerily familiar, compared to today and that is his message: it could happen today.
        He recommends that, whatever one does, to be careful not to trigger shame-responses in people in order to avoid emotional overreactions. So no rational assessment of the leadership is needed.
        You know where we are likely headed in times of rising poverty and general upheaval due to various substantial factors.

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    2. Watt4Bob

      I find it difficult to comment when my real bottom line is that our entire leadership class needs to be slammed to the ground and handcuffed while someone’s knee presses against their neck.

      x2!

      …and then after shouting into the void since 2006 or there about, a couple of years ago, the void started answering back with that periodic beep that indicates I’m being recorded.

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    3. Spastica Rex

      I was an enthusiastic participant in the F15/Iraq War protests in Seattle. Prior to that, I got gassed at the WTO protests there a few years earlier – remember “Free Speech Zones?”

      Anyway, to your experience, I personally lost my belief that there was really anything at all I could do after the Iraq War protests (largest in global history) failed to do anything.

      All that’s left IMO, is working towards revolution (and likely getting killed in the process), and I’m too old, too pacifist, and too cowardly for that.

      :(

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      1. tegnost

        Broadway was packed from at least st marks cathedral to first hill, I’ve never seen that many people in one place and the news was of course something like “hundreds protest…”

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    4. Rick

      Yes. I’ve been part of a group meeting since early 2025 seeking ways to have a meaningful response to the leadership crisis. At this point, it can’t be more clear there isn’t one, and what is needed is explore what mitigations are possible to survive. And like NC and others have repeatedly pointed out, this isn’t a political party problem though I have found that a tough sell among the ‘blue’ crowd. People will agree in theory until you start listing what Obama did while in office. Or Clinton. Which is why I have supported this site since 2008.

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  • Es s Ce Tera

    The never-ending flood of conflicting and negative news induces sense of helplessness and futility, reducing incentive for anyone wanting to organize resistance, let alone unpacking the seeming insurmountable levels of untruth, which is no doubt the exact intention of the flooding the zone strategy. I often start a comment and then scrap it halfway in despair, with thoughts of “what is to be done”. I wonder if others feeling the same contributes to the level of comment quality on a given day.

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    1. amfortas

      yeah. i find that i am overwhelmed…not just by the insane and foggy newsfeed…but by things in my life.
      ive taken over my son’s mowing bidness…his new job meant an initial paycut, so im having to pay my own electric bill.
      also driving Tam’s mom 120 miles round trip 1-2 times a week…so my body is broken.
      on top of that, mom has apparently gone off the deep end…havent seen or heard from her in almost 2 weeks, since she blew up all over me(with a bunch of insane accusations, as usual) tuesday before last.

      so yeah, i havent the bandwidth to parse all the news of the world…let alone say anything useful.
      what can one say?

      i expect 3-500 this weekend from my mowing and ranch work, at least…seed order and shoring up the pantry are in order.
      hopefully topping up the tanks and gascans, too.
      all that said, …and even as the poorest person in my county…im better situated than anyone i know as far as food and heat goes.
      5 200# cut male sheep across the road, waiting for cooler weather and a helper for the butcherin/processin.
      hope to begin cleaning the lil greenhouse this week, so i can start moving the toms and peppers and such in there and then plant beans and such alongside.
      already deployed mothballs in there to discourage rattlesnakes from moving in.
      again, collapse first, avoid the rush,lol.
      y’all remain a palliative for the existential loneliness…and remember, all such communities of affinity and interest go through cycles like the one we’re currently bemoaning.

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      1. mrsyk

        “Collapse first, avoid the rush”, right? I too have gone small over the years.
        I’ve a sneaking suspicion that our close proximity to multiple high voltage existential threats has had an effect on comments. I used to enjoy mixing in some snarky dark humor, but three years of watching global elites rationalize genocide put paid to taking pleasure in pointing out the hypocrisies.

        “What’s the point?!” Is a lousy destination, yet all paths seem headed in that direction. What to do? More antidotes for one. Fellow reader nycTerrierist dropped this late yesterday and it bears a second nudge,
        Snow leopard cub debuts at the Bronx Zoo.
        As a counter to the comments aren’t as good as they used to be, I would point at European NATO Fears That the US Won’t Rush To Its Rescue If It Provokes a War With Russia where we are treated to some long form Russian perspective.

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      2. Tom Stone

        I have been dealing with chronic severe pain for more than 3 decades and for the last 11 Months with stenosis at multiple levels which has left my right ( Dominant) arm nearly unusable due to pain.
        I am also old and flat broke.
        I can not afford depression, at 73 with multiple serious health issues I do not have the time to waste on being depressed.
        Exercise and diet are very important, but what I have found helps the most is helping others who are in worse shape than I.
        For many years I did volunteer work in jails and prisons, my health no longer allows that.
        What to do?
        I look for the beauty that surrounds me, I look for and take opportunities to say or do something kind, I remember the words of wisdom I have heard over the decades and try to act on them.
        “If you can’t be grateful for what you have or where you are, you can always be grateful for where you are not and what you do not have”.
        The Universe is integral, a unity, as a consequence there is no such thing as a small kindness.
        Or a small cruelty.
        If nothing matters because we all die, be contrary.
        Be honorable, generous and kind and say “FUCK YOU” to the fates.
        Love is good, without qualification, and so are chocolate chip cookies.

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        1. Lena

          Yes, to all of this wisdom, Tom. These days, I spend time with my sweet rescue cat and I also crochet little blankets for the local animal shelter with yarn that friends give me. My cat “helps” me crochet. My life is very small now as I am home bound. The things I used to do, I can no longer accomplish. But it is a beautiful October day. Cat and I are enjoying it from the window.

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      3. Henry Moon Pie

        I envy your level of preparation, amfortas. Even more humbling is that I know from your testimony that you’ve been doing this for years, if not decades.

        As for “communities of affinity” (nice term), I’ve come to see NC as a living organism. Yves is the “executive function,” keeping things on track with the goal of nurturing critical thinking, while the rest of this very diverse “body” goes through all kinds of ups and downs, but nevertheless gains in collective wisdom as it’s moved through time, weathering economic crashes, wars, pandemics and social dissolution.

        I scoffed at the idea of an “online community” at DailyKos, but there truly is one here, as I experienced as a cancer patient. I know you’ve felt that support when you’ve gone through losing a spouse. It’s real, and it matters.

        The essential thing about being an NC reader is that you won’t get blindsided, even in this very unpredictable age. The site’s leadership has always been like a skilled scout, going out in advance to find what lies ahead, good and bad. Sometimes, this means that the scout comes back with news we’d rather not hear, but that’s why you can’t help but keep in contact with reality if you read NC.

        Reply ↓

        1. amfortas

          32 years…beginning with stupid mistakes and false starts and much experimentation…formulated a Plan and then rubbed in a groove to make it happen about 20 years ago, right about the time my hip died. 6.5 years to get that resolved, last 4 of which we lived in town: prowler problem and increasing insanity from next door(mom) had to get boys away from it. while there, piddled around with rainwater collection and graywater approaches and all manner of experientation…right under city gov’s nose,lol.
          then got me hip, was atrophied and weakened from almost 7 years of sedentary…and we needed a better house,lol.
          so i built one as physical therapy.
          prowler had died, and mom seemed to have mollified.
          havent stopped building out the infrastructure the Plan required since, save for 4 years of Tam’s cancer adventure.
          dropped everything, and the place grew wild,lol…which, in addition to trying to finish the infrastructure, is what ive been dealing with since she died…rehabilitation.
          i fear that i have got too old and decrepit for my helper on the other end of the board to be the proverbial 8 penny tail.
          the mom problem will fix itself, at some point…and ill deal with that fallout(no matter what she’s done in secret).
          and save for electricity and things like gas and cigs and beer, i dont really need that much $.
          ill do the mowin as long as i can(instructed our small engine guy to attempt to locate and stock up on cork gaskets and seals and other parts for our machinery and implements of destruction…ill make ethanol and be the only mowing service around,lol)
          biggest thing is the lack of a woman in my life who wants and like to live in more less this fashion,lol.
          an even taller order given the limited pool of candidates out here.

          (i do have one gal im cultivating, tho…knows i am poor and mow for a livin at 57,lol.
          still seems giddy as a school girl when i chat her up.
          set aside a benjamin, at great hardship, to take her to dinner sometime this week.)

          i can go on and on about radical horticulture and even more radical construction and engineering techniques…but most of what i got left requires other people…at least one…on occasion…even if its just to call the emt if i fall off the ladder,lol.
          |
          (bored rain and pain day…hence my rambling)

          Reply ↓

          1. Alan Sutton

            I always read your comments Amfortas.

            You seem like the most civilised and informative person in Texas to me, way down here in NSW.

            For me NC is my place to be informed and hang out with people that take the things I take seriously, seriously.

            I have almost nobody else to talk to about this stuff. Not nobody, but nearly nobody.

            I don’t quite know how to put it in words. The internet has produced some strange things that we could not have experienced before it was invented.

            Having such a large group of people (I assume you are all people!) you can consider friends, or at least colleagues, that you have never seen and will never meet has to be the strangest.

            But, thank you all anyway.

            Reply ↓

            1. Alan Sutton

              I just want to add some encouragement to Yves.

              Please do not be discouraged by lack of comments.

              I am constantly surprised by how often I see a comment that says something like “ I have been reading for 10 years and never comment but I feel like I have to comment on this”.

              Yves, you obviously have the numbers on traffic and site visits. I am sure the reader numbers must dwarf the comment numbers.

              I don’t comment that much either but I read this site every single day for at least an hour.

              That is a lot of impact you are having right there.

              And, I see so many comments that have said what I was going to say better than I could say it it seems like a waste of time to repeat it.

              The comments are the froth on top of a very big and deep glass of beer, which is the first image that came to my mind and sounds a bit stupid but accurately expresses the scale of effect you are having.

              Always good to remember the Pareto Principle when considering things of this nature.

              Reply ↓

              1. Ray Blaak

                I was going to.commemt along these lines, but you beat me to it.

                Yves, please don’t stop posting articles that you think are important, significantly affecting the world. Doing so has made this site what it is today.

                I read and value the articles and comments, but don’t often comment myself.

                Reply ↓

            2. Lena

              Yes, indeed. I will respectfully disagree with what amfortas wrote below about NC being “just random folks on the system of tubes”. The mystic in me says we come together here for a reason – to learn, to discuss, to be in some way a part of each other’s lives. We find this place because it speaks to us. Nothing “random” about it. It adds meaning and a sense of community to our days. There is no other place like it on the internet. Thank you to Yves.

              Reply ↓

    2. Patrick Lynch

      @ Es s Ce Tera: This is the place I’ve found myself for quite awhile now, especially scrapping comments in despair. Very few comments I start to write survive long enough to be posted, and if it does, I’m probably guilty of some sort of low quality comment. In terms of despair, there are some days just looking at the headlines or the titles of posts is enough to end up not clicking on any of them.

      It isn’t just here, it’s everywhere I would read or watch. I’ve stopped watching all of my lefty You Tube channels. Flooding the zone is quite effective when the target is cranking up the conflict between being informed and staying sane which is where I’m at hopefullly not forever.

      Reply ↓

      1. Vicky Cookies

        I hear you Patrick, and echo yours, Es s Ce Tera’s, and Mark’s comments. If it isn’t for a purpose, endless analysis becomes a bit like crossword puzzles, or playing chess by yourself. When I was more involved in local organizing, I tried to bring some of the insight and analytical tools the many brilliant people here gave us to the scene, but found that it flew over many heads. Now I still contribute articles to lefty and socialist publications, but find myself less engaged. The world we live in is fascinating and terrifying, and unless you’re trying to build something better, I can understand disengagement.

        I have commented here for a few years. I don’t know what the commentariat was like before about 2022, but I look at old articles and see many names I do not recognize. I wonder if there’s a regular turnover partially explicable by burnout.

        Wishing you and the rest purpose-driven interest in whatever it is that does it for you.

        Reply ↓

        1. ambrit

          Being a semi-oldtimer myself, I watch as “names” drop out and other “names” come up and replace them. (Anyone remember ‘Beardo from Bellingham’ for instance?) A long, long time ago in a simpler, saner timeline, Yves once castigated a particularly obstreperous commenter by mentioning an Ur-blogger to the effect that commenters come and go. It is a fact of life. Don’t stress too much over it.
          This Commentariat partakes of an almost mystical bond between intellectually adventurous people. I was going to add “like minded” but thought better of it because this commentariat, unlike most to be encountered on the Internet, is tolerant of dissent and argument. All the site asks is that the argument be thought out and sincere. Then the Dialectic does the rest.
          One big lesson that this site has taught me is to realize and accept when I do not understand a subject. On a secondary plane, this site is a crowdsourced self help resource.
          Stay safe and keep on commenting.

          Reply ↓

  • kramshaw

    America Wants to Make More Generic Drugs. India Shows Why That’s Hard. New York Times. America was once able to to things that were hard…

    Zomg.. the essence of the argument is “it’s hard to make money on generics” not even that its hard to make them!

    Meanwhile, the article describes a key Indian producer in Hyderabad that puts out a large amount of the world’s generic medications based on a staff of 1,900 people. Okay, so, in the US at competitive pay, that would be, what, $200 million a year outlay? I.e. two F-35s? less than 1 dollar per capita per annum? If we want this we can have it.

    This is the problem with NYT brain disease. It becomes impossible to consider alternative social structures, it becomes impossible to do simple scale calculations, it becomes impossible to understand strategic value (like how useful it would be to have domestic medical supplies). All that is permitted is smug liberal refusal to do anything.

    So instead of contemplating the *actual* difficulty of such a task, which would primarily be in cultivating an educated workforce capable of the work and smooshing all the corporate parasites that would arise to try to turn it into a profiteering boondoggle, we have something to tsk tsk at over our coffee. Thanks, NYT.

    Reply ↓

    1. Bugs

      Sanofi had a big generic business in France that it walked away from last year and basically threw the market to Teva, who I imagine uses Indian manufacturers (it’s Israeli). Put about 1000 skilled people out of work not far from me.

      Reply ↓

    2. Jason Boxman

      This is why we had no effective Pandemic response; To mitigate COVID spread is to reimagine the social order, a society where citizens’ health and well being is put first, ahead of the self gratification of the elite.

      A change in social relations was never on the menu, so we get endless Pandemic instead.

      This applies to larger challenges like Climate as well, even more so, as the system itself must go, not merely be substantially reorganized.

      Meanwhile, on generics, Indian generics plants frequently fail to produce safe medication. And the FDA response was, well, we can’t jeopardize faith in our drug supply or availability, so we must keep this secret.

      For example

      Threat in Your Medicine Cabinet: The FDA’s Gamble on America’s Drugs

      So just for more tractable problems, we have elite malfeasance and arrogance. Surely, Americans are intelligent enough to weigh the benefits and costs, when informed honestly what the situation is.

      But as with COVID, people are too stupid to understand the situation, it is presumed. That’s technocratic government and our PMC in action.

      Governed by people that hate us.

      Reply ↓

    3. Alan Sutton

      Thank you kramshaw.

      Your penultimate paragraph gets right at the problem.

      I was lacerating our Australian PMC elites in conversation the other day about how we have so little refining capacity here.

      The automatic response by my conversational partner was “it would be too expensive to do that here”.

      Well, too expensive to do it while others can do it for you I suppose. Until they don’t want to do it anymore, or can’t.

      The whole idea of self sufficiency or even just looking after yourself has been offloaded.

      Reply ↓

  • Steve H.

    Thank you, Yves, for the preface. Two points I’ll address:

    > which got no comments for many many hours and in the end garnered only a few. Why should I bother telling readers what is going on when no one is interested?

    Oh, it’s not about interested. First, your previous explanations, stated over a scope of years, has already convinced me of the thesis. Currencies and international finance are topics I particularly struggle with, and there is no place/authors even remotely as informative as NC (I include Keen and Hudson here). I try to value-add with my comments, previously that wouldv’e been gnashing my priors, but that has been quenched in the tempering.

    : Much of the criticism has been focused on snark. I recall Lambert’s views evolving, at least on silly names. Nat’s discussion tied in with trying to cope, what are called Defense Mechanisms in DSM-IV:

    > Defense mechanisms (or coping styles) are automatic psychological processes that protect the individual against anxiety and from the awareness of internal or external dangers or stressors.

    Juxtaposing two of those:

    > humor The individual deals with emotional conflict or external stressors by emphasizing the amusing or ironic aspects of the conflict or stressor.

    > reaction formation The individual deals with emotional conflict or internal or external stressors by substituting behavior, thoughts, or feelings that are diametrically opposed to his or her own unacceptable thoughts or feelings (this usually occurs in conjunction with their repression).

    From a primary source, Adaptive midlife defense mechanisms and late-life health:

    > Defenses are typically classified hierarchically by levels of maturity. Mature defenses (e.g., sublimation, suppression, anticipation, altruism, humor) are prominent in those with greater levels of success in work and relationships and lower levels of psychopathology; intermediate or neurotic defenses (e.g., displacement, repression, reaction formation) are less adaptive but are found across all levels of life functioning; whereas immature defenses (e.g., projection, passive aggression, acting out, denial) are associated with difficulty regulating, expressing, and understanding emotional experiences

    Noting that humor includes irony, snark often involves speaking the ‘diametrically opposed’ perspective, which can confuse readers (‘we don’t need clean water, amirite?’) There’s an overlap twixt mature irony and neurotic reaction formation here. Backfires happen. A minister at a church I attended decided to speak words Satan might whisper in your ear (‘you are worthless’). Regardless of intent, he gave a ten minute sermon by Satan in a house of Jesus, I now have his voice as an evil earworm, and I can no longer stomach the services. The emotional self regulation once provided (omigod the music is good) has paradoxically shifted to bitterness.

    I personally find snark to be a great emotional release. But I’m a believer in Greek theater’s use of satire in catharsis. And any drum can be beaten too hard.

    Reply ↓

  • Steve H.

    >You Are No Longer Invited to Dinner Derek Thompson (Micael T). Important.

    >> the two groups most likely to say they never entertained people in their home in the previous year were political independents (44 percent)

    Covid had an impact, but I can date a breakdown in our broader social group to 2016. Hillary Clinton’s campaign was so divisive that a broad counter-culture group we camped with fractured on gender politics, with Fcbk playing a huge role in facilitating bitterness. It bled down to the more intimate sub-group, when the primary host (who had a dodecahedral dome with great drum acoustics) got fed up & stopped gatherings, and then went and died alone. All that remains is the extended family gathering.

    Reply ↓

    1. mrsyk

      Good morning. Being me, I’m going to draw a straight line between waning optimism and waning desire to entertain (as well as the desire to comment).

      Reply ↓

      1. Steve H.

        Good morning! The corrosive aspect to which you speak is that, for me, all my optimism comes from small groups, small enough to entertain. Theater cast and crew. Grandkids who don’t know any better. Browncoats Backwoods Bash. The Commentariat. Where agency has room to operate.

        Janet and I can spring for a room and some chow for a Meet-Up. We’re south-central Indiana, Indianapolis is fairly well located. Chicago possible with a stretch. Late October?

        Reply ↓

        1. mrsyk

          That is very kind, but I’ve been having a hard time working up the courage to travel these days. On the other hand, the leaves are nice here in Vermont in October. A return of meet-ups (we used to do these!) is a good idea.
          Hi Janet!

          Reply ↓

    2. nippersdad

      I think that he could also have emphasized the economics aspect of entertaining, though being a denizen of the Washington bubble it may not have been as immediately apparent to him. It costs a great deal to entertain, and one needs space. Bernie Sanders was famous for saying (also back in 2016) that half the population did not have an extra four hundred dollars to their name, and that has only gotten worse. We have also become an increasingly renter society, sometimes with several people sharing the rent…and then there are those who still live with their parents.

      If coordination was difficult back when people had more time, space and disposable funds, it has surely only gotten worse. Netflix costs six dollars a month; throwing a party that costs several hundred and then only having six people show up due to calendar conflicts can seem like a waste of resources to those with few to spare.

      Reply ↓

      1. Ed S.

        “and then only having six people show up”.

        Spouse and I have broadly given up on entertaining – cost is a factor but not the primary. What we’ve seen since COVID (and even before) is that:

        1) Invitees just ghost. The last event (a July 4 bbq in 2025) we had three couples/groups say they were going to come and just didn’t show. Two of the three we called/texted ONE HOUR before the event started and they confirmed they were on their way. Never showed, never called. So not only the expense, but the waste.

        2) People don’t reciprocate. Maybe there is something wrong with us, but we’ve probably had 6 parties in the last five years. My spouse loves to bake so there are regular deliveries of cookies and other baked goods (for both people and dogs). We have shared amazing citrus that we get from a fried who has orchards (it’s so good that it gets air-freighted from Orange County CA to NYC weekly). In 8 years not even a proverbial “cup of coffee” invite.

        3) People are much more insular. Most people where I am keep to themselves; again not about socializing but simply saying hello. They may socialize with family but not much beyond that.

        Anyone else feeling this?

        Reply ↓

        1. JP

          We have discontinued larger gatherings. They can be fun but a lot of work followed by a feeling that you really didn’t connect with anyone for over a few minutes because too many people.

          So no more then can fit around a table. If there is more then six the conversation breaks up. With eight it comes and goes. Ten is impossible for a unified discussion for more then a few minutes. We prefer six because of the more shared participation whether the conversation is inane or dense. We don’t mind hosting without reciprocation. That’s not why we do it.

          Like NC it is about knowing what others think as well as solidifying my own thinking. Here I try not to comment where I have nothing that furthers the dialogue. I certainly do not care to elicit an over the top rebuke from Yves. Often I don’t comment when it would require an Aurelien length essay to make my point. Mostly I don’t have the time. My mornings are packed and often I don’t get to NC until the end of the day.

          Reply ↓

  • The Rev Kev

    “You Are No Longer Invited to Dinner”

    I think that the author should have put this post more into historical context more. The base line year here is 1975. OK. So what happened in 1975? That is when Neoliberalism starting to take over. Look at this site-

    https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/

    It was then that worker’s wages started to flat-line for a start. Let’s get more explicit and compare a couple in 1975 and one in 2026. In 1975 it was still possible to work one job that would support your wife and children at home and let you pay off a home. They could look forward to annual holidays away and maybe have two cars. The husband may have belonged to a strong union and he and his wife probably belonged to different social clubs such as bowling, card-playing, lodges, etc. It was not this way for everyone but it was true for a lot of people. Because of the foods that they ate and the activities that they did, they were healthier and much more slim too.

    Now? It is much more frequent to have two or even three jobs just to keep your head above the water financially. Education, which was cheap back in the 70s, is now a racket that would make the mafia blush. Families are one serious sickness away from living on the streets and most people can only afford to have only a few hundred bucks in reserve. I could go on but we all get the idea. So trying to hold a party was way easier in the 70s than the 20s and you cannot compare the two eras.

    Reply ↓

    1. vao

      Talking about the historical context, the article is limited to the situation in the USA.

      While one can readily assume that many of the trends discussed in the article are reproduced elsewhere (perhaps with a lag) — since after all the entire Western world has been subject to neoliberalism and globalization — I would be curious to know to what extent they apply in other countries (is the situation not as bad? even worse? different?)

      What about Australia for instance? Do people no longer organize parties? Go hunting together? Do they spend their time playing video-games instead?

      Reply ↓

      1. Es s Ce Tera

        Also, even within the USA did they ask Italians, Mexicans, Greeks, Indians, Pakistanis, Filipinos and Jewish folk if they still have gatherings? Or was the definition of “party” strictly non-family, non-cultural?

        Reply ↓

      2. TonyJ

        Being crusty old heptanarians (is that a word?) we no longer invite friends around for a meal. What does happen, though, is that pretty much every Sunday is entertaining day for family, sometimes for lunch, sometimes just brunch. The gathering includes two daughters and their husbands, and seven grandkids, ages 18 down to 6. Random add-ons are always welcome. The 18 year-old’s current squeeze is a semi-regular, and various grandkids’ friends come along from time to time. An old friend down from Darwin for a visit joined in a couple of Sundays ago. Our 40-something son and his husband come as well if it suits their schedule.

        If you think that sounds like organised chaos I’d agree with you (although ‘organised’ may be overstating things a bit). We fully appreciate how lucky we are to be able to do this, and to have family close enough (both geographically and relationship-wise) to make it happen.

        Reply ↓

    2. Henry Moon Pie

      Mobility may be a part of it as well. I grew up in the 50s on a farm outside a town of 1,000 people in the Midwest. Everybody’s grandparents all knew each other. My parents had “guests” a couple of times a week. Cousin Chub would come from the farm just to the south for a bourbon and Coke and some gossip on a Tuesday. On Saturday, Happy and Jo, the neighbors to the north, and Charlie and his wife, Mary Ruth, my Dad’s cousin across the back fence, would come over to play cards. The next Wednesday, my folks would go to visit Charlie and Mary Ruth at their house. Once a year, the Study Club, comprised of old ladies wearing white gloves, would meet at our house, a traumatic event that involved days of dusting and scrubbing and mowing. Between Christmas and New Year’s every year, my parents hosted the Book Club, a drinking fest where the local bourbon was consumed by the quart, but everybody stayed pretty well-behaved.

      I find it hard to imagine that such an active social life is common anywhere these days.

      Reply ↓

      1. bassmule

        I feel like an endangered species. For the first time since childhood, I have been living in an actual neighborhood for 12 years. Our house has become a kind of dinner club: My wife is a Cordon Bleu grad, and I am retired from 25 years in the wine business. We have, over time, become friendly with several of our neighbors, all of whom know that dinner with us is always going to be a good time. And they reciprocate, now knowing there is no reason to be intimidated. We’re always glad when somebody else wants to cook!

        For what it’s worth: I know very well how lucky I am to be able to have a real neighborhood social life. This story confirms it.

        Reply ↓

        1. eg

          Likewise our time-warp experience at the end of our street — we have 5-7 couples who regularly host gatherings for drinks and nibbles multiple times a month. Actual dinners are rarer — usually an annual progressive moving from house to house by course.

          Reply ↓

    3. Michael Fiorillo

      1975, the downbeat of Neoliberalism, was also the year of the capital strike more commonly known as the “Bankruptcy” of NYC. It was the first major attack on the New Deal – libraries and fire houses closed, thousands of cops and teachers laid off – ushered in years of municipal austerity, and underpinned the ideological shift from social welfare governance to Capital-centric assumptions.

      Reply ↓

    4. Joe Renter

      1975. The year I graduated from High School. I feel fortunate that I had this timeline. Cost of living was good for low wagers. I lived across the street from the beach and paid $75 for knotty pine room. The surf community was tight and no lack of friends of the opposite sex. Glory days. I could go on, but that was then and now the only thing I have. And speaking of ghosting… it’s not so pleasant. I have a close friend that is now saying, “adios” in that fashion. And the ex who was a friend seems to be following suit. Thank God for having a meditation practice and this blog. This is more personal than it should be, but three cups of coffee does that. Be well.

      Reply ↓

  • Samuel Conner

    The argument of the Business Insider item on the influence of AI-related borrowing on long-term bond yields is that lenders anticipate that future AI-related productivity improvements will increase business activity which will imply higher future borrowing to finance business activity, which will imply higher future competition for funds, and thus higher interest rates.

    That looks to me to plainly be “loanable funds” fallacy, applied to future expectations.

    Is this happy talk to quell inflation concerns?

    Reply ↓

    1. Samuel Conner

      I’ll add that the BI argument appears to me to be a fifth-order effect:

      future developments in AI –> higher productivity –> more business activity –> more business borrowing –> more competition for funds –> higher price of money

      I think that causal chains that involve higher-order effects through a long cause-effect chain are much less plausible than lower-order effects that occur through simpler, shorter cause-effect chains.

      It seems more plausible to me to suppose that the actual thinking driving long bond rates up is

      USG fiscal unsustainability –> higher default risk –> higher risk premium

      That this causal chain is simpler does not make it more nearly true as a matter of reality (since USG cannot involuntarily default on obligations denominated in the currency it creates) but it might be a better explanation of (mistaken) perceptions driving financial markets.

      Reply ↓

      1. albrt

        For me personally, rate risk is the main issue. Rates would have to be around 10% before I would consider locking up my scant capital in a vehicle that could drop dramatically in value if rates go up, especially when the future is looking inflationary.

        Reply ↓

        1. cfraenkel

          You could always switch to the old fashioned ‘hold until maturity’ strategy. Don’t play the eke out a few more points game, and just take the income. Pretend you’re living in a Jane Austen novel.

          Reply ↓

          1. amfortas

            all my “extra money”(lol) is in hard goods…romex, polycarb panels for big greenhouse, stacks of 3/4” plyboard,pvc pipe and fittings etc…all stored high and dry in the unfinished cabin.
            add seed vault, and still a rather deep pantry.
            and hand tools, handwaterpump, and the like.
            got a pile of things with a lot of copper in an out of the way corner..estimate maybe 200# total recoverable pure copper(with the lead and such at the joints)
            and got a board fence to remove this winter…ill save the salvageable, trim the rot off, and stack it somewhere dry, too..for inside walls of cabin.
            hill person investment strategy.

            Reply ↓

          2. albrt

            That’s what I would do with 1 year bonds. Might even sorta work with 5 year bonds. But I don’t expect to live for another 30 years, and I do not expect that getting my 2026 dollars back in 2056 would provide much recompense even if I did live that long.

            Reply ↓

          3. John Wright

            Hold to maturity might be the plan for the Federal Reserve but it may not need cash from asset sales to pay salaries and expenses.

            Per https://www.reuters.com/business/ny-fed-flags-106-trillion-unrealized-loss-bond-holdings-2024-2025-06-03/

            The FED had $1.06 trillion in unrecognized losses in their portfolio in 2024.

            Increasing long term interest rates could cause a real dent in someone’s lifestyle if they had to sell long term bonds purchased in a low interest rate environment.

            Reply ↓

    1. cfraenkel

      Me 2. I do find I often spend more time in the comments than in main post, and also use the comments to identify links to go back to that got skipped over in the first pass. Which is great, as the headlines start to all look alike, since they’ve been massaged to attract clicks.

      However, it appears that some of the audience has come to expect informed expert commentary as a service, which is unfortunate. (and hugely unfair to our hostess, as witnessed by today’s comments….)

      Reply ↓

  • Carolinian

    Re the intro–thanks very very much for NC and some of us think the site has gotten better and more informative. If everything seems foggy at the moment it’s because national and international affairs, as controlled by Trump, are “a tale told by an idiot, signifying nothing” other than whatever impulse his ever more child like brain has latched onto.

    NC has always been our corner of sanity even as the establishment institutions like the national newspapers and television news deteriorate shockingly. Those who find fault should do more commenting, less complaining. IMVHO.

    Reply ↓

    1. nippersdad

      “…national and international affairs, as controlled by Trump, are “a tale told by an idiot, signifying nothing” other than whatever impulse his ever more child like brain has latched onto.”

      For an old man who apparently spends his nights playing with the creation of AI videos and posts for his Truth Social channel, it never ceases to amaze me how much he gets up to every day. Where does he find the time to insert himself into every possible situation, much less create so many of them himself? It is exhausting just to watch/read about it all.

      I can’t help but feel like he has a little army of people dedicated to antagonizing everyone, everywhere all of the time. Surely this can’t just be him?

      Reply ↓

      1. Henry Moon Pie

        Part of that must be attributed to the odd role played by his seemingly laissez faire chief of staff, Susie Wiles. I wonder if, 3-5 years down the line, she will be subject to being considered for prosecution for treason. Such a prosecution might be a hopeful sign that the country gets to determine its own foreign policy again.

        Reply ↓

      2. ambrit

        I would love to see a list of the “medications” he is given every day. He might now be like the one time Austrian Corporal who had daily injections of “vitamins” that generally leaned towards stimulants.

        Reply ↓

  • The Rev Kev

    “Kiev In Panic as Russian Drones Begin Severing Main-Bridge Cables”

    ‘They want to destroy our bridges… our data centres, the internet, mobile networks, hospitals, kindergartens, schools, universities – everything. They want people to flee their cities.’

    If this is true, will the EU open up their doors to all these Ukrainian refugees? Or will they shut their borders to them and order them back into the Ukraine to continue to fight the Russians? I’m going with Door Number Two.

    Reply ↓

    1. John k

      Me 2. Imo there’s serious talk of sending ukr male refugees of conscription age back because those guys didn’t get the ‘well fight the Russians to the last Ukrainian’ memo. And I bet eu elites think it should apply to females, too.

      Reply ↓

      1. ambrit

        Sorry, but the EU branch of the Epstein Class has their own special “uses” for the Ukrainian females. They stay right here in the European Social Republic, thank you very much.

        Reply ↓

      2. albrt

        Refugee status has never applied to those fleeing lawful military conscription. The elites have not changed that much in the last 50 years. If Ukrainian males got refugee status it was on the premise they were fleeing from evil Putin, or because of something specific to the individual such as being abused by an oligarch, or because the law in the receiving country was being conveniently ignored.

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  • Dunning B Kruger

    Re: Lack of comments about de-dollarization.

    Yves,
    “crickets” are not data
    silence – the lack of noise – is not necessarily signal
    and no news may well conceal good news

    Granted
    as a discussion starter, your commentary on de-dollarization was an abject failure
    but
    speaking on behalf of the grizzled cranks amongst your readers
    remember that
    while the furiously typed niggling point clearly punctuates the comments
    the creak of a nodded head does not carry across the internet

    For the record
    I muttered
    “But, of course”
    and read on

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  • DJG, Reality Czar

    Yves Smith in today’s war bulletin with comment on quality:

    May I be the bastian contrario? I am glad to be the bastian contrario.

    I have found the daily war bulletins by Yves Smith and Nat Wilson Turner to be excellent. They give me a U.S. view of the situation that isn’t New York Times, Elissa Slotkin, Faceboo blabbering, and academic maundering. Admittedly, my approach to understanding Iran (and the genocide in Palestine, as well as the wreckage of Libya and the continuing after effects of Yugoslavia) is informed by Fatto Quotidiano and a whole crew of wonderfully insightful Italian writers. The quality of writing by Italian dissident / un-mainstream writers is better than U.S. writing.

    The big problem is that too much is happening. Too much is happening, and social media enhance the delusion that one is involved in what is happening. It is not the case.

    I have learned that social media are a pale imitation of life – because I have participated in general strikes here in the Undisclosed Region as well as demonstrations against the wars.

    Imagine, though, if U.S. readers hadn’t received these excellent daily war bulletins, as well as the many comments by people with expertise in various areas. The commenters here who understand armaments and logistics always impress me.

    Finally, another datum as to how confusing the situation is: The Chocolate City is the home of many Iranians, including many young Iranians. Some are students. Some have made it here as immigrants. One cannot tell Italians from Iranians anyway – we’re all just a big pile of mongrels. Yet a day or so ago, I walked into a demonstration by pro-shah Iranians in the Piazza Carignano. And a few weeks back, a friend of mine and I went out for a drink. The bartender was a charming young Iranian man – a monarchist. My friend left the bar nonplussed. Meanwhile, I frequent a stand in the market owned by an Iranian man with his trusty sidekick (Iranian writer / film maker). They tell me things about Iran, “It’s complicated.”

    It’s complicated. Keep sifting through all these buzzing conflicting data, peeps.

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    1. The Rev Kev

      I gotta agree on the excellent coverage of the news and current affairs on NC. If I had to depend on the main stream media I would have a completely distorted and unrealistic view of what is going on. With NC, it connects the dots and put stories into context so that you can understand what is happening. Sometimes it can be like drinking out of a fire-hose but the effort to understand what is going on is worth it.

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    2. Jeff W

      Just as a side note: whenever you refer to “the Chocolate City” in “the Undisclosed Region”, I get a frisson of delight. (And, as a more general point, I appreciate how your comments are always beautifully written.)

      Reply ↓

  • madarka

    long time lurker and very occasional commenter here. this year i’m unable to contribute due to unemployment. but want to convey my respects to Yves and the NC team for all the work they do. NC has been my primary source of daily news & analysis since 2008, and an invaluable resource for understanding the world. thank you!

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  • wakeup

    Just because you can’t see comments doesn’t mean people aren’t reading articles. You banned me from commenting. I love Naked Capitalism and donate regularly, despite the fact that I think you are a petulant jerk when it comes to moderating comments.

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  • Steve H.

    > He Sold Americans a Disorder That Didn’t Exist

    *sigh* You can tell grifters ’cause there’s a price tag. Vitamin D is a great counter-example, you can increase it by standing in the sun at midday (*free*), and has enormous benefits. There is a body of research on ‘grounding’ by walking barefoot in the dirt (*free*), that apparently can lower blood viscosity and pressure. The grift taints potential free benefits. Here’s a review paper, with breadcrumbs if you’re interested.

    Grounding (earthing) as related to electromagnetic hygiene: An integrative review

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  • eg

    “Perceived Importance of College Hits New Low”

    And yet not a word about the ever shrinking “college wage premium”

    https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2025/what-happened-to-the-college-wage-premium

    Nor any consideration of ever rising college costs (which have outstripped CPI for donkeys years) nor the crushing burden of student debt — the new indentureship.

    Why, oh why is perception of the importance of college falling? ‘Tis a mystery …🙄

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  • DJG, Reality Czar

    Mike Elk is in Brazil, which is great. The Fórum article is in Portuguese and provides many more details. What excitable Marco Rubio likely forgets is that Brazilians are cool cats, as the detailed analysis in Fórum shows.

    Note the mention in the Fórum article of the U.S. involvement in the 1964 coup, about which Brazilians are not likely to be forgiving, given the years of misery that followed.

    I’ve studied Brazil for a long time, having been part of a project at the end of college. What literature. What music.

    And Os Mutantes

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ETqMNQw-a9M

    Panis et Circenses. Seems appropriate.

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  • ChrisFromGA

    Re: Iran war and comments

    One feature of the Ukraine-Russia war that helped greatly to cut through the fog of war, and false narrative promotion of known bad actors, has been the rise of the independent neutral YouTube mapper. My personal fave is Dima at Military Summary … today I learned from him that the Western Embassies are preparing to evacuate Kiev (quietly, and probably after the Nov. midterms to spare both parties further embarrassment in the US.)

    Unfortunately, we don’t have anything equivalent in Iran, that I know of. Covering ground captured in Ukraine is a lot different than covering an oil tanker far out in the middle of the Strait. People still live in those towns in Ukraine and take videos, and Dima’s method of looking at video evidence showing one side bombing a position as proof that the other side still controls ground, while not failproof, is at least objective.

    But if you don’t like him there is Willy OAM, Weeb Union (sadly, his channel seems inactive), and Defense Politics Asia, among others. By looking at all of them you can get a good sense of who is winning any given battle or taking ground.

    (A topic that has been completely abandoned/banned by the Western media, preferring to instead cheerlead for Ukraine or print outright false info.)

    I haven’t seen anyone keeping an independent “scorecard” using anything as objective as Dima does to refute US claims that oil is making it through, so we’re left with Team Epstein vs. Team Iran and both sides have motive to lie. Team Epstein will lie, we know that. Team Epstein’s primary sources are Trump and the Pentagon, both of which are dubious (I suppose this is an ad-hominem line of reasoning, so I will admit as such.)

    The point is that the Iran war along with the tanker wars is unfortunately ripe ground for lies, propaganda, and hopium-based arguments. Perhaps we should focus on secondary indicators, like the price of gas, oil and refined product export bans, and on-the-ground reports on the economy in weaker links like SE Asia, Europe, and Alaska.

    I do miss Raspberry Jam’s updates – very high quality both in the writing and the information.

    And IMDoc – I think he still posts occasionally.

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    1. Dr. John Carpenter

      Co-sign on that. I found Raspberry Jam’s comments to be credible and vital. Greatly missed and I hope they’re ok.

      Reply ↓

  • ChrisFromGA

    Any particular reason why my last comment was deleted? Maybe a glitch? All I was trying to say is that the YouTube mappers have been great in cutting through the fog of war in Ukraine, and we lack such animals in the Iran/tanker war.

    I guess I’ll go join Wuk in the wilderness.

    Reply ↓

    1. ChrisFromGA

      Never mind, I think it was in moderation. I am going to take the rest of the day off and touch some grass; I really don’t have anything more to say and others can say it better. Glad this place is here.

      Reply ↓

  • bks

    It’s not just you. News from the Gulf is in the doldrums across the board. Partially because the news is being suppressed, but also because a new phase was entered with the signing of the MoU. That signing, regardless of the implementation fiasco, recognized that the USA is out of options. Iran is not obsessed with news cycles like the American commentariat is. Please keep up the good work.

    Reply ↓

    1. Mikel

      As far as “MSM” goes, Aljazeera, despite its faults, keeps the daily war actions in the region on its front page.
      When all else seems quiet, it serves as a simple starting point.

      Reply ↓

      1. MFB

        True enough, but its position under the thumb of the Qatari dictatorship makes it a little inclined to be one-sided. My wife prefers to scan Al-Jazeera and PressTV and split the difference. Can Europeans and North Americans access PressTV, by the way?

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  • The Rev Kev

    “He Sold Americans a Disorder That Didn’t Exist”

    To quote Eric Cartman – ‘It’s all a bunch of tree-hugging hippie crap!’

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  • Ghost in the Machine

    Thank you for the architecture links. I send them to my son who is applying to various universities now, wanting to do architecture.

    Somewhat relatedly he is also reading Atlas Shrugged and the Fountainhead now. Ayn Rand got onto his radar when she came up in a negative light at a family dinner, when her influence was criticized by my liberal academic sister in law. He is curious and smart. I encouraged him to read her as she has influence among the corporates etc. I told him I also read Ayn Rand in high school and was enamored. But, grew very critical of her philosophy as I aged. I remember some comment on NC in response to some CEO type hysteria resulting from criticism of corporate influence as “pearl clutching CEOs running off to Galt’s Gulch with their copies of Atlas Shrugged tucked under their arms.” Something like that. I smiled wryly at that.

    In any case, if anyone in this well read commentariat has any recommended videos or readings on Ayn Rand to send to my son please let me know. I have sent a couple of interviews with people both critical and sympathetic (but not idolizing) to him so far.

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      1. flora

        adding: The above was written by an AI from the author’s promptings. It’s a pretty good summation even so, imo.

        Reply ↓

        1. flora

          welcome. ask your son if he thinks referees should be taken out of sports games, taken off football fields and basketball courts and baseball diamonds for example. he will say no. ask him why he thinks that. etc. if he says yes, ask him why he thinks that. / ;)

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    1. Travis Bickle

      The thing is that Rand is a very breezy writer, who knows how to build and maintain narrative momentum. Both books are damn good reads. AS in particular is a mystery empowered by remarkable rhetorical tension in its early pages, after which it’s easy to fall into thrall of its assumptions. To your smart high schooler or average college sophomore it’d be powerful stuff. And indeed, Rand’s is the very definition of sophomoric philosophy.

      The trick is to catch readers for a debrief after they’ve read it, and to be prepared yourself. The power of these books is in their oversimplification and generalizations, as the plots ever so briskly moves on. There is truth to her perspective, but the underlying thinking is childish. And its real power is rhetorically, as in its ability to deceive. Debunking her would be a great critical thinking exercise and a good short course could be done doing so. It’s easy to expose her thinking as such, but you have to have done your own homework and be prepared to expose its presumptions and vacuousness.

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    2. Carolinian

      It used to be said that Frank Lloyd Wright hated The Fountainhead but a recent biography claims that the vain Wright enjoyed the book although his wife thought it was bs. Wright was even going to supply some designs to be used in the Gary Cooper movie version but had a falling out with the filmmakers who then used some banal “modernistic” backgrounds.

      Of course Wright really was a design genius but via training as well as a desire to be original and his visual ideas have antecedents. Whereas the silly Rand and her Social Darwinists think it all just pops into their brainy head.

      Which brings up today’s “Against Anti-intellectualism” link which uses the straw man of the vile William F. Buckley to attack the notion of common sense. Here’s suggesting that a more informed view is that “genius” is a combination of facility at abstract thinking combined with experience to provide “data” to a computer with all that IQ. The article suggests smart people have given us the best of all possible worlds and we shouldn’t believe our lyin’ eyes.

      Uh, no.

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      1. The Rev Kev

        ‘Optimists think that we live in the best of all possible worlds. Pessimists fear this to be true.’

        Pretty sure that the author of that post was an optimist. And then I remind myself that this civilization was built by intellectuals and describing the results as catastrophic would be mild.

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        1. DD

          We’re just designed to hoard resources in a much harsher world. Having everything relative to our distant ancestors, with no meaningful pressures on our immediate wellbeing makes us stressed over existential threats. It’s incredibly unlikely I’ll die of starvation or exposure, but I’m wired to worry about it.

          https://youtu.be/PdFB7q89_3U?si=jf8ISBY_CY2nzd0k

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      2. Carolinian

        And btw to the link about the public preferring older architecture to modern–I’d humbly suggest that it is because we are creatures of nature and nature hates straight lines. So all that ornament adds eye pleasing detail to the “form” that current architects think is so important (and not incidentally makes buildings cheaper to produce). This isn’t my idea of course since Ruskin and others have said the same and Wright was very into imitating natural forms.

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        1. The Rev Kev

          It might be that those old building give a sort of stable background to daily life. That your grandfather knew them,your father knew then, you know them and your children will now them. How true is that of modern buildings? How long will they last? I recall one famous 20th century architect declare that any of his profession that designed a building that would last more than twenty years was a traitor to his profession. Wait, what? Think of the waste of resources in building his style of building, knocking it down after a generation and building another ad nauseam. People want things to last. I saw a house in Switzerland before Columbus finished his apprenticeship. I have walked across a bridge built by the Romans – and still in use. People want permanence.

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        2. albrt

          I think the historical record is pretty clear that most people prefer elegance founded in historical reference and familiarity. I don’t see why this should be surprising.

          Wright was his own thing, I don’t think he is really comparable to what has been considered “modern” since WWII.

          The real controversy is between historically grounded architecture and modern or post-modern trends such as brutalism. These schools are pretty open about their intention to rub ordinary peoples’ faces in the dirt. Again, I don’t see why it should be surprising that most people don’t like this.

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      3. flora

        Alan Greenspan, yes that alan greenspan, was one of Rand’s Objectivism ‘disciples.’

        Did you know? Alan Greenspan and Ayn Rand were close friends

        https://www.npr.org/2026/06/22/nx-s1-5866558/alan-greenspan-dead-ayn-rand

        It was ironically funny to hear Greenspan admit his economic model had a flaw, and that flaw contributed to the global economic meltdown known variously as he Great Recession or the Global Financial Crisis brought on by the subprime mortgage meltdown.

        CIAO DATE: 04/2009
        Alan Greenspan Explains “Mistake” behind Global Meltdown
        European Affairs

        A publication of:
        The European Institute

        Volume: 10, Issue: 1 (Winter/Spring 2009)
        Abstract

        “The American economic guru explains how he missed the signs that the economy was going off a cliff during the decade he was chairing “the Fed,” the body that functions as the U.S. central bank. A strong believer that markets can self-regulate thanks to the enlightened self-interest of the players, he failed to recognize the danger signals of the U.S. financial collapse that also engulfed Europe.”

        https://ciaotest.cc.columbia.edu/journals/ea/v10i1/04.html

        Apparently, Rand’s objectivism doesn’t recognize human weaknesses like greed or short sighted thinking.

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        1. JohnnyGL

          A lot of neo-liberal icons started showing some vulnerability during that period. Obviously, Greenspan above, Bernanke, Larry Summers, Paul Krugman, Ken Rogoff, etc.

          As the 2010s wore on with low rates letting banks slowly rebuild their balance sheets and big tech rose to its current ascendancy, all these people conveniently forgot their prior contrition and reverted back to markets uber alles and TINA.

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  • flora

    re: AI: Why is Oracle leasing Nvidia chips to China at huge discounts? – Kevin Walmsley

    Um, because Oracle (the Ellisons) are in financial difficulty?
    From the article:
    “Oracle is forecast to show negative cash flows for this year, and for next year, and for the year after that—and will need $100 billion from cash reserves, or new capital raises, to finance its data center builds. ”

    In other news, rumor has it that Bari Weiss will soon be out at CBS after the merger of Paramount and Warner Bros, assuming it goes through. Ousting Bari could save a few million bucks. Ellisons own Paramount, CBS, CNN, and other outlets. The merger will take some big bucks. From Due Dissidence:

    Bari Weiss Could Be OUT At CBS Post-Media Merger

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FXYgmVhFYzE

    CBS has cancelled the Colbert Show, very popular show that’s critical of T. So thats a money loss for Ellisons. CBS has wrecked 60 Minutes. Another loss for Ellisons.

    Reply ↓

    1. Jefferson Davis

      Yes, now that Oracle has failed to deliver the contracted capacity at Abilene, OpenAI can simply walk away and not pay a dime. If it does that, I expect that could be a death sentence for Oracle. Or close to it. Larry might not go personally bankrupt, but Oracle will be broken apart, and there won’t be much left after the few moneymaking bits are sold off. I expect Larry is sweating these days, hoping for a bailout.
      The future for Oracle is very grim. If it drops to junk-bond status, that will probably be the beginning of the end, as many holders of stock will be forced to sell.

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  • Mikel

    “…De-Dollarization Is a YouTube Urban Legend, which got no comments for many many hours and in the end garnered only a few. Why should I bother telling readers what is going on when no one is interested…

    I’m all here for a critical look at some of the YouTube narratives. Good thing to diverge.
    Of sites I visit more than just occasionally, NC has been consistent with nuanced discussion about currencies and finance.

    I looked back to see the comments on that article.
    No comment.

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  • Quintian and Lucius

    Speaking personally and reiterating some other comments here, I did find the de-dollarization myth post valuable and refrained from commenting because I simply do not understand international money markets well enough to even generate a constructive question about them.
    As to the issue of generally comment quality and engagement – I have to hypothesize (from n=1 anecdata – myself) that a fair number of newer readers and commenters discovered naked capitalism from one youtube creator or another in what is at this point a rapidly growing content space for…let’s call it English-language anti-imperial political coverage, for lack of a remotely elegant construction. I think I first discovered naked capitalism as a result of Alexander Mercouris mentioning Yves by name in a video at some point in the distant past. It’s entirely possible that the newer population of readers such as myself is less analytically sophisticated than longer-tenured readers. I can imagine it’s frustrating to take on such an audience compared to the traditional commentariat – but in my view this makes posts like de-dollarization much more valuable, not less. Even if it’s a fraction of the neophyte audience that actually consumes and processes these pieces, we’re getting something unique and important out of it.
    Finally, regarding the Iran war posts – these are still valuable, informative, invariably well written in the body – but they’re suffering from a phenomenon of diminishing returns as Yves alludes to – there are so many discrete events, and so many of them tangibly repeat, that the signal of these posts starts to run into noise. I read the Iran war update whenever it’s published, but it’s a skimming type of read, usually focused on kinetic developments and objective diplomatic movement (not so much on what a random official on either side says; official statements published on the dead bird app are rapidly becoming my least favorite form of discourse). I don’t believe there’s really much that could be done about this; my uninvited editorial opinion is that, paradigm-shifting events in the gulf having slowed some, there’s perhaps value in consolidating major conflict zones into a regular piece and shifting focus depending on which one has the most notable developments. I can imagine it’s difficult to track and nonsense-filter through coverage of multiple hot wars on a daily basis of course so this may be hopelessly impractical actually.

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    1. anahuna

      I too much appreciated the dedollarization article. It helped to bolster my uneasiness at the financial pronouncements of some YouTubers I otherwise admire. Still, lacking the background to contribute, I refrained from commenting. I understand the frustration of failing to provoke a response. Just who, I wonder, among the commentariat, would be fully qualified to add anything to such a complete and convincing argument.

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    2. Mikel

      “Finally, regarding the Iran war posts – these are still valuable, informative, invariably well written in the body – but they’re suffering from a phenomenon of diminishing returns as Yves alludes to – there are so many discrete events…”

      There are varying opinions about how much of this is discrete events vs connected events. It’s part of the tension.

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  • Goingnowhereslowly

    I’m sure the de-dollarization article is terrific but it’s been an unusually busy week and I am already persuaded of the conclusion by your previous arguments along this line: I’ve been repeating them for at least 10 years now.

    I’ve also noticed that just in the past week or so I’ve become less able to cope with the utter confusion, stupidity, and mendacity out there. Typically I am unable to look away from the train wreck. I will probably bounce back, but at the moment I just…can’t.

    Take care of yourself, Yves, and please know that your work is critically important to my being able to function in this crazy time. I did contribute to the fundraiser and will happily contribute more.

    Now I am going to sign off and make some chicken broth.

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  • Pybe

    ‘Media Spread False Claims About Causes Of French Riots And Dismiss Left-Islamist Alliance Behind Them’

    I know you’re a bit more US centric and less aware of national EU contexts but a US equivalent of this headline would be:

    ‘Media Spread False Claims About Causes Of Anti-ICE/Flock Actions And Dismiss Dems-Mexican Drug Cartels Alliance Behind Them’

    Not sure you want to platform this kind of opinion.

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  • farmboy

    mad respect here for all, Yves and commentariat, readers, lurkers, madmen, the discontented. Getting used to the enormity of today from all the info to process, it’s no longer tunnelvision tv and once a day newspapers. And if we live long and prosper how does all the info and opinions sort themselves out, Longevity stretches out in front of us like two lane blacktop in the desert, seemingly endless, get ready to live to 130 without drooling.
    NC manages to occupy psychic realestate like no other entity, I think mostly because of the truthtelling. farmboy tiling

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  • Goat_Farmers_of_the_CIA

    I have been coming to this site for a decade or more, and I don’t remember comments complaining about the dearth of posts on the Ukraine – Russia war. Nat’s over the top post was absolutely warranted given that the Iran war has turned – from a cognitive point of view- into a broken record, both due to the absolute incompetence of Trump and his corrupt, drug addicted and alcoholic minions, and also to Trump’s own, obvious cognitive decline. There’s little left to do with these attritional, forever wars than a superficial skimming, as the pattern or strategy underlying it all is obvious to anybody after Yves’ posts from months ago. If you want the kinetic facts there are plenty of channels in Telegram to waste time on.

    As to wishful thinking about the dollar’s demise, well, it is also the national currency here in Ecuador, and I have yet to see even the shadow of a rumor in local social network accounts about bills with Mao Zedong’s face, even though domestic Chinese cars long ago displaced locally made Chevrolet junk and Brazil made Renaults.

    Reply ↓

    1. jefemt

      My inane non-added value two alloy laden pennies: maybe the Chinese have been around long enough and observed the world with enough equanimity that one does NOT want to be the worlds war lord and reserve currency?

      The model of job creation/ economic activity/ ‘grow or die (think cancer?) at any cost— I wish the power peeps could do a little paradigm shift and get beyond the war/arms-destruction power trip. If wishes were fishes…

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      1. SeventyTwoTrillion

        Absolutely. While a part of me yearns for China to get a move on and take greater advantage of the opportunity that the US’s titanic incompetence has given the world, a much greater part of me respects that it would be a really big mistake for China to rush head-first into the Triffin Dilemma. Call me an idealist, but I want the US to be the last empire in human history, and if China follows the US’s footsteps into reservecurrencydom in a short-term effort to stamp out the US’s current military and economic crimes, then I fear that in 70 years, we’ll all be talking about what can be done to end Chinese global imperium.

        What comes next can’t just be another reserve currency backed by fear and surveillance and military spending and debt crises and neoliberalism but by a country with a hammer and sickle and with statues of Mao and Marx behind the world ruler. It has to be a different formulation, and constructing that different formulation is going to take time. Nonetheless, I hope Xi and his successors know that tens of millions suffer and starve and are bombed and fall into unpayable debt and ultimately die with every year they’re given to tease out the intricacies of a new financial system. Is dedollarization occurring? Yes, and now it cannot be stopped even if the US tried. Will it happen soon? No; desterlingization took a long time too. Will what replaces it be better? I hope so.

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        1. amfortas

          your comment sent me into a tangential spiral: does china have warehouses? did they do the Just in Time, Warehouse on Wheels(or afloat) thing like we did?
          i understand(from NC) that they have pretty enormous stockpiles of not just oil, but grain and all manner of other necessaries.
          but what about the solar and battery sector?
          if they have accumulated a lot of that sort of nuts and bolts…suddenly gifting a passel of such things after the crash…and the withering of us power…would 1. be in line with what i gather as their philosophical/ideological outlook…and 2., make them the Soft Power of the wholeworld…given #1, something they seem well suited for.

          idk, just stoned, bored, alone, looking at the rain.

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  • Ignacio

    Media Spread False Claims About Causes Of French Riots And Dismiss Left-Islamist Alliance Behind Them Public News (Chuck L)

    IMO, this Shellenberger doesn’t add much light into the problem, very much on the contrary for what i have read. The article is mostly ppv. The full article probably doesn’t pass any decent smell test.

    The situation in France is becoming quite difficult and the escalations aren’t helping. I dislike the push to burn and break things but I also believe that the repressive apparatus doesn’t help at all with +2000 detainees. The blaming game and the inability to treat the problem with many taking advantage of the situation when probably many or most students do not want violence at all and there are probably lots of agents provocateurs involved. The idiot Minister of Justice saying that the parents should pay for damages done is a very good example on how general idiocy won’t help to solve anything. Probably because very few wants things solved. In Spanish we say “a río revuelto ganancia de pescadores” meaning that there are probably too many wiling to take advantage of the situation but not precisely to solve the problems that students are asking to be treated.

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    1. Aurelien

      The causes of the riots are various, but are mainly to do, firstly with teacher shortages and quality, long hours in the classroom, and certainly plenty of cases of decrepit accommodation and lack of facilities. But more importantly, this is a generation without hope, without a future, who anticipate for the most part a post-school future with dread. The more able will be able to stave off unemployment or McJobs for a few years at university but that’s about it. These are not the children of the PMC, who go to private schools, often run by the Church, or exclusive Lycées like Henri IV, from which they will ascend frictionlessly to the PMC themselves.

      But it’s not a conspiracy and indeed there’s little sign of organisation beyond social media. What has happened is that a number of elected LFI councillors and others have made fools of themselves by publicly siding with the students, and in a few cases even posting pictures of themselves helping to set rubbish bins on fire or applauding that. To his credit, Mélenchon, who hasn’t lost all his political savvy, issued a rather contorted statement today saying it was OK to protest, but please no violence. He can see votes for LFI disappearing to the RN with every burning rubbish bin.

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      1. Es s Ce Tera

        And if there is only organization by social media then there is no (grassroots) organization, as that is a controlled channel.

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      2. Ignacio

        Precisely i was thinking that RN might be the political party which might win the most. More so when much of the protest, for what I have seen, tends to be anti-fascist. Is there anyone helping with the radicalization? It would be that easy to succeed in some schools here, some others there, turning it to what is becoming. Aurelien, you could call me a conspiracy theorist for this will all reasons but… it should be so easy in this environment! Idiocy by some LFI elements cannot be ruled out of course. On the contrary!

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        1. Aurelien

          The problem is that there is really no-one in charge. The student “unions” who have met the Education Minister represent basically nobody (as in the universities) because hardly anyone votes. They have no authority and virtually no influence. In such circumstances, there is no organisation and no discipline in the demonstrations, and anyone can join in.

          There is a day of action planned for Tuesday, and people have begun to get worried. Parents have been asked to accompany the demonstrators, around 400 schools have been closed, and the CGT, one of the largest Trades Unions, has become involved. The Left is very worried about how this will rebound politically if it goes wrong, especially if more schools are burned and teachers attacked.

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    2. Socal Rhino

      A self-described Persian Girl account on X condemned the French government for slaughtering 70,000 innocent civilians. Seemed fair.

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  • jefemt

    Words fall short on how much I value the news aggregation that NC does, the original thinking and analysis, and yes, the comments.

    I apologize my comments are not edifying and add no value, if and when I do comment.
    Old habits die hard, I probably will persist.

    NC and the commentariat, in my mind, is value- added, value-positive.
    Even if its a small amount, NC and the crew are deserving of a few of our dusty dollars from our moth-riddled wallets– I wish the donor participation rate was 100% of regular attendee/ readers! !

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  • forgot

    Dear Yves, I for one do value the financial viewpoints, even if contrarian to parts of the commentariat. So I am coming out in favour of more financial assessments where you are confident enough to weigh in.

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  • flora

    From Jimmy Dore.

    Sunny Hostin DEFENDS “Cornell 7” — Greenwald Calls Mob Justice “Sinister & Dangerous”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUti_Wu7hHU

    Sunny Hostin of The View was a NY prosecutor. She seems to know what she’s talking about.

    We used to anonymize victims so they’d feel safer in coming forward. How is convicting people in people’s minds without a trial a good thing? AOC was ridiculous here, imo.

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    1. flora

      One thing about online digital, virtual lynch mobs: they don’t need sheets. They don’t have to leave their houses. They don’t have to think, only emotionally respond to a story. That’s three things. / ;)
      Too harsh?

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  • Marduk

    Yves, the value of what you and your team are doing is enormous. Of that there can be no doubt. I won’t take up people’s time by further elaboration of this.

    I will say that I contributed early, and will now contribute again.

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  • tegnost

    Disengagement is a balm in a world gone mad. The “fake news” guy is now surviving solely on fake news.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IasCZL072fQ

    I think the new writers are doing fine in a somewhat frontier environment. To those who want more value added comments, add more value to your comments. I don’t think anyone comes here for myself, but once in a while I add a nice ’80’s youtube clip that at least the fashionistas will find amusing.
    When the fundraiser is garnering single digit increases per day there is something wrong, I doubt all those who once donated are getting their news from sulzberger now.
    Look inward, you can’t go home again and stuff like that.

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  • MicaT

    To the flydubai video.
    They should have waited until the NTSB flight recorder data was out.
    A few points don’t add up in the video. There doesn’t appear to be any hydraulic leak. No fluid around the tail section. And even it did cause a loss of hydraulic fluid there are multiple redundant systems that will allow the use of all the other control surfaces and other systems without any problems. The rudder most likely broke off due to rudder peddle use and not speed ( according to experts ) but again flight recorder data will show if that’s accurate or not. It will also show the actual attitude of the plane and speeds of much will have major information as to structural stresses that may have occurred.
    And big planes don’t use the rudder at all during flight and only in a very limited way on landing or take off. And it’s usually do to cross wind issues that require rudder inputs. Sure it’s there for a reason and rather have it vs not but of all the control surfaces to lose, that one is the least important.

    One piece of information going around is that the rescuers of the plane had to barge their way into the cockpit because the captain was on the floor blocking it. However Boeing aircraft cockpit doors open out, towards the cabin of the plane, not in towards the cockpit. That’s not a minor error.

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  • Christian B

    “1 in 13 adults under 30 already had hidden artery plaque Science Daily”

    I am in a fight with my doctor right now. I am in my early 60’s. My LDL is about 170, my HDL is 55. So he said “statin”. I said “prove it” since the last time I took it if caused severe muscle pain and my HDL paradoxically fell to 29 which increased my risk fro a heart attack.

    I then showed him this Harvard note that said “about 75% of heart attack sufferers do not have dangerously high LDL levels.” (They say it is the small LDL that rasied CVD risk, and since OMEGA 3 increases large puffy LDL, my fish consumption is most likely why my arteries are still free and clear.

    So I then asked him why does he want to lower my cholesterol to a point where most people get heart disease? He said if I want I can see another physician.

    Can anyone tell why doctors are this way?

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    1. Yves Smith Post author

      Get a calcium score test. That will show if your LDL is producing arterial plaque.

      Tell him without that, he can prescribe statins but you won’t take them.

      Also bring in this, from IM Doc, former prof of internal medicine who was on an Institutional Review Board for 15 years and its chair for 5.

      IM Doc
      February 7, 2026 at 11:49 am
      A few words about statins – they have been with me largely through all of my career – all the way back to the very first one that came out MEVACOR or lovastatin.

      I had the benefit of being trained before the statins came out. This of course was a bit before the medical literature had been hijacked by the pharma, hospital, and insurance industries. I am looking at my notes and materials right now from medical school……….cholesterol levels were considered a 3rd tier modifiable risk factor. Far more important were smoking, exercise, obesity, social activity, diet, stress etc. Diet was a bit problematic because it was not clear what exactly in the diet was an issue back then. Things that could not be altered by an individual were elevated issues in male sex, family history, etc……both of these things were considered to be very significant risk factors and still are.

      Then the statins hit. Overnight, cholesterol became the primo risk factor of all. It was everywhere in our media. I would say it speaks to our predilection as a species – we are hooked on things that can be distilled into a number. The osteoporosis issue is exactly the same.

      So for years, the media and medical and Pharma marketing did their thing with LDL, HDL, etc. We as a profession treated peoples’ numbers. We put everyone on these drugs. There were even those who were literally demanding statins to be placed in the drinking water. We made their charts really pretty…..but was it actually doing anything in health outcomes? Not so much.

      Primary prevention is when you have a lab or test finding – like elevated cholesterol – but you have never had an incident in your life related to it – in the case of cholesterol – an acute MI or stroke, etc. We place people on an intervention for example statins to get the cholesterol down in hopes that will lessen the incidence of the disease – ie MI, sudden cardiac death, etc. Multiple studies over years have shown that there is absolutely and precisely zero benefit of statins in this regard. Zero. Nada. When your MD is putting you on statins to decrease the numbers you found on your labs, and you have never had a cardiac issue – it is basically chart decoration. It is not helping you at all.

      Secondary prevention is when the person already has had a stent or an MI or whatever, and then you put them on statins to prevent another event. There is a VERY MARGINAL benefit here – it is not anything like what is presented to the American people.

      Since their intro, some off-label uses have been determined to be of help – for example, giving them in the setting of an acute MI or stroke for the first month does seem to increase survival. This likely has nothing to do with cholesterol – it appears to be an acute anti-oxidant effect.

      So, for the most part, these drugs are marginal at best. An MD truly interested in your health should be pounding lifestyle changes on you – weight loss, quit smoking, exercise, eating well, sleeping well, decreasing stress, etc.

      Statins have all kinds of nasty little side effects especially in those over 70 – and especially in people who are athletic. The more athletic the more likely you will have all the muscle issues. Mind hazing, diabetes, muscle issues and general malaise are all associated with their use. There are others.

      My big fear now is all of a sudden in the past year or two, cardiologists are pushing these things to huge doses to get the LDL down to less than 60. This is madness. The study this is based on shows again just very marginal benefits for this. What is never told to people is LDL is actually a semi-truck – it is delivering energy to your body from the food you just ate. When we get it down this low, there is less energy going around. I worry about many organs in this kind of setting.

      I do my best to present all of this to my patients. Especially those over 60 or so.

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      1. Jason Boxman

        A skill everyone could benefit from is being able to take notes so effectively that they’re valuable and interpretable many years after they were written. My writing is atrocious and proper penmanship never took root. I guess there’s still time.

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      2. Christian B

        Thank you Yves. I had a CAC score of zero! I had the test after my NC based pdoc (who is much better) did a bunch of scans of my heart and jugular veins and they came out clear as well. She did the CAC test because she knew I had two brothers and a mother who had heart attacks in their early 50’s.

        For me (and I know this from my genetics and my own testing) eating a ton of sea food saved my life. It totally reversed my vegetarian HDL from 29 to the upper 50’s. HDL, im my mind, is still an important marker. It also lowered, only slightly, my LDL

        And right on with the note from IM Doc. I had a friends nephew visit me recently. His is a 23 year old vegan. His cholesterol was 72! He sufferers from severe mood issues and joint problems. He said his doctors were so happy with that result and they actually bragged about it to his partners! I showed him the truth, that he has hypocholesterolemia and that it is probably lowering all his hormones that are made from cholesterol.

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      3. Laughingsong

        Oh thank you so much Yves — and IMDoc, wherever you are — for this information, I’ve copied it out for when my next physical comes around, and see if I can get that calcium test.

        I too am getting pressure to take statins and I too doubt their efficacy and necessity. Being in one’s 60s apparently seems to make the typical “primary care physician” think you need all kinds of pharmaceutical interventions.

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      4. ambrit

        Thank you again IMDoc.
        This time I made out a hardcopy for the files and to fax off to unsuspecting friends and family. They may think I’m a nut, to the extent of some telling me so directly, but the cumulative effect will go somewhat like the Big Lie propaganda technique. Call it the Big True strategy.
        Apologies in advance, but is there any correlation between the incidence of more prescriptions per patient and the physician’s entering a group practice? In other words, is there a direct financial incentive to overprescribe when Big Medicine becomes involved? Many of us suspect so but can find no documentary evidence either way.
        Again, thank you and enjoy your respite from electronica.

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  • none

    Tried to post this earlier but it didn’t go up, sorry if it’s a dup. A good observation that I found a couple days ago, from here:

    Reading news stories over the last decade or so, from all over the political spectrum, there is one overwhelmingly consistent message about the US that really stands out:

    The US is a desperately poor country and the only way to survive is for everyone to work harder, expect less, increase efficiency, direct everything towards producing the goods without which civilization will collapse, and make sure nobody undeserving ever takes advantage because in such a weak economy there is no excess and nothing to spare.

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  • Aurelien

    I agree with those who are not disturbed if comments drop off a bit. Remember that in commenting you are implicitly staking a claim on the time and attention of other people, so I always suggest that the first question to ask is, Is my comment really necessary? Then, do I have special knowledge, experience or insight to contribute? Do I have an angle nobody has thought of, or a question worth asking? Do I have a link to contribute? Do I even have something genuinely amusing to say, or a personal experience to contribute? Or do I just want to vent about something using the same expressions everybody else uses? I seldom if ever comment on US politics, for example, because I’m not a Murkin and my first-hand knowledge of the country and its political system is limited.

    Another sensible rule is not to waste time commenting on Links or opinions which demonstrate fixed ideas, just because you think you should. There’s no real point in commenting on a “Ukraine is winning” story unless it contains some new element or unless you have specific expertise that disproves it. The same applies in the other direction. I now instinctively tune out people who routinely refer to “Banderstan” and “Nazis,” because I know what they are going to say already. I was never a great fan of Martyanov, but I gave up on him completely when he started calling Ukrainians “animals.” Likewise, by a process of auto-radicalisation, people who used to call Israel by its legal name now write “Israel,” and the “The Zionist Entity,” and now “Occupied Palestine,” at which point, you know exactly what the rest of the Link or the comment will consist of. If the author or the commenter is especially knowledgeable, I might read it, but commenting can easily lead to invective that gets nowhere.

    The vast majority of the Links on NC are of very high quality, and a great credit to those who assemble them. Quite a few are expressions of either Establishment or fringe views, and that’s important in preventing the site becoming an echo-chamber. But that doesn’t mean you should judge the value of a link by the number of comments on it, nor that there should be any compulsion to comment or reply to comments. Indeed, coming late to certain stories, I’ve found that the sheer number of comments, often just people arguing with each other, can itself be a distraction.

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  • Michael Hudson

    I want to say that I agree with Yves that “Dedollarization is a Youtube urban legend.” Using other currencies also doesn’t mean that dollarization is ended. What is at issue is the entire financial system and its financial pro-creditor rules under U.S. control that Bessent is weaponizing. So the US is driving other countries to alternative currencies for the new growth in monetary reserves. But there should be a better term, like “Diversification.”
    I’m saying this because Yves often criticizes me for not making this clearer when I discuss the splitting apart of national financial systems. We both think that talks of a BRICS currency — and even of the BRICS as an active group — is overdone. The SCO if anything is stronger with its triumvirate of Russia, China and Iran.

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    1. Antagonist

      What Yves and Expat2Uruguay had already noted about the lack of valuable comments regarding that De-dollarization post can be similarly applied to Hudson’s recent post about a clean slate. Owing to my rare ocular problems, I self-enforce very strict limits to screen time, and the consequence with regards to our favorite website is I tend to print out the posts minus the comments. (I also completely stopped using phones and televisions, which means I am a social outcast.) When I read Hudson’s essay on paper in a shady spot in a parking lot, I realized, “Holy crap, this article and Yves’s introduction is awesome.” Awesome is such a trite word that it no longer means inspiring awe because it is often a synonym for impressive. But in this context, I mean I was awed by the knowledge and the skill to write about complex civilization-wide problems in a lucid manner. The greatest compliment I can give to a writer or journalist is if I print the article and put it into one of these vertical magazine organizers for repeated reading later, which is what I did with the latest clean slate article. More often than not, I read the post on paper and recycle it when I’m done. Sometimes if the post is very substantive, I finish it a week or two later. This also means I seldom comment.

      Nevertheless, the previous paragraph is background for why contributors to this site should not feel dismayed to find only a few comments to a post with lots of insight and substance. Naked Capitalism is not Facebook! The authors and the subsequent commenters should not be hoping to acquire a bunch of “likes” for validation. The de-dollarization post and that clean slate post were also not news, as that sort of explanatory post with historical examples would under normal circumstances take additional reading digestion time. If the original author wanted feedback especially here on NC, he or she should know that the majority of comments come when it is fresh on the front page. Afterwards, it becomes literally yesterday’s news—which I think is inappropriate since there are plenty of meaty articles here that are not really news and should have a longer window for comments.

      In theory, with all the geopolitical and economic material I read, I ought to be pretty knowledgeable. In practice, writing something insightful takes me a good amount of time, and I would typically refrain from saying anything.

      Thanks to the usual suspects here for actually engaging with the audience. When Yves, Hudson, KLG, Nat, and others reply, it often has valuable knowledge. As for my rare ocular and neurological problems, I sometimes email the corresponding author for all the medical papers I read, and there is typically no response. But I expect that because this publicly available corresponding email address is probably inundated with spam. While my numerous medical problems are a topic for another day, I will briefly note that one aspect of my ocular/neurological problems is an extreme over-reaction to screen time. There is plenty of medical literature for the negative effects and affects of screen time on ocular problems, sleep problems, and mental health. Unfortunately for me, those consequences occur with a tiny amount of screen time.

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  • Tom Stone

    The de Dollarization post was important, I did not comment on it because I don’t have the background to fully grasp the subject.
    Which is why I read it, over time I will build greater understanding on the foundations of what I learn here.
    The lack of comments on a post have little to do with how important or influential the post will be, given a little time.

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  • MPM

    The whole issue of America imposing self-advantaged systems on the world – like dollar dominance – gets a sort of medium-level reflection from me. On the one hand, I recognize that my wife and I are beneficiaries of America’s privileged position and power. Our lives wouldn’t be as comfortable without it. On the other hand, is the fact of how that privileged position is unfair, and furthermore, America has been resorting to brutal and unfortunately incompetent actions to try to retain it, or strengthen it. If I were completely moral, I’d want to give up the privileged situation. But the reality is that I want to stay comfortable. I want America (if I think about it) to keep most of that position; I object sometimes when things cross some vague boundary into America acting “too badly,” like us supporting Israel’s criminal war actions, the incredibly vicious and dumb Iran war, the undue provocations of Russia; I dislike some of the country’s financial bullying moves, like its World Bank and IMF treatments of third world countries. But I don’t really want to give up the whole privileged position at all. I don’t claim to have a resolution for all of this.

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  • MPM

    I just want to add to what other readers said about appreciating Yves’ financial commentary. Her remarks on how the dollar is not going away, for example, pretty much became my understanding of the situation. I think for myself, at least, her immense competence in these matters compared to mine leaves me without much to add or say, and I wonder if that might be a more general process.

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  • chuck roast

    Off the top: toxins in cat food.

    I poisoned Ozone, the coolest cat ever, by feeding him dry food. He was only about five years old and his kidneys shut down. My current guy, Omar, gets nothing but wet food…Wellness…5 bucks a can. You would have to do mass spectrometry on it to figure it out. It worked OK on my last guy, Ace. Ace-man lived to 19, but he had kidney issues too. With Omar I spoon in three tea-spoons of chicken broth with each feeding to assist in liquid intake and help flush his kidneys. As for the make-up of the chicken broth…nobody’s saying.

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    1. jefemt

      Organic chicken broth is available, and I don’t think that much more. now, USDA organic means nothing, but the certification of Oregon Tilthe… that is THE good stuff, Maynard.

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  • outside observer

    “Being completely ignored says this audience has very little appetite for analysis…either on finance topics generally or on findings that do not conform to erroneous but emotionally appealing story lines.”
    Please do not try to cater to what you perceive to be the public appetite! I come specifically to hear your well thought out analysis and to guage my blindspots. I read the article and shared it without commenting as I am not able to add anything of value.

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    1. Vicky Cookies

      I agree, we visit this site in substantial part due to our trust in Yves’ discretion, even when we would make other choices. You can’t please everyone, and trying to do so is a recipe for failure.

      Many of us are eccentric in one way or another. For example, I don’t think YouTube videos are good fodder for commentary. I much prefer dry text, without the simulated human interaction which dulls our bullshit detectors. Then we get someone’s well-considered view, rather than their off-the-cuff delivery of information I’m sure they have a good grasp on, but in the distorted context of a conversation. The most practiced speakers are prone to logical slips, overgeneralization, and emotion; it’s the nature of the medium. Most can also probably read much faster than other people can talk, and when time is at a premium, as it is for us working folks, the medium can help us determine what we spend it on. I can also come back to a half-finished article much more easily than I can to a video.

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      1. Henry Moon Pie

        I don’t know, Vicky. While a video or Zoom call doesn’t come close to actual physical proximity, it provides an important source of information about the source of ideas. I was taught in high school to recognize and avoid the use of ad hominem, but I am becoming very wary of ideas without being able to connect them to real people and communities. It’s true that the ideas of ancient authors must be judged primarily by the content on its face because what we know about the author and the other context is pretty limited, but in the flurry of ideas that are surrounding us currently, I prefer to gather as much context as possible. And part of that are the impressions given by the physical behavior of the source of an idea. What can you think of Peter Thiel’s ideas after hearing him stutter and dissemble when asked if he wants the human race to survive? Do you hear the anxiety, maybe even fear, in Bill Gates’s voice when he charges at Ezra Klein for seeming to extol “self-regulation?” Maybe more context than a video would reveal deception and play-acting. Maybe not. But in an age when the voices of a few people are billions of times more equal than the rest of us, I’m happy to consider whatever they choose to reveal as part of the context for their words and actions.

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  • Rui

    Is it possible to increase the number of links in the Recent Items list at the start of the posts? I know it might become too long but there are days I am unable to visit and it would make it easier to check previous posts. The number of posts a day has increased and sometime the Recent Items are all from just the last 24 hours!

    Just a suggestion.

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    1. nippersdad

      Hit the archives button, and then the month in which you are interested. You will then see everything that has been posted that month in reverse order.

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  • Vodkatom

    “You Are No Longer Invited to Dinner”

    I don’t deny the data showing the decline in in-person social activities, or shrinking social networks. But I have a quibble with the activities surveyed. Social forms change, and some of the survey questions are centered around older social forms, without exploring modern replacements.

    Playing cards is down? Not surprised. But where are stats on the boom in table top and modern board games? I can think of a half dozen gaming cafe in my city. I see people playing all sorts of games in cafes and bars. But no cards.

    Dinner parties down? I think I’ve been to only a few dinner parties in my life, but countless numbers of BBQs. A quick search found data showing American attending 4 or 5 BBQs each summer. I’d guess more than went to dinner parties.

    Socializing through the internet seems devalued. It may not have the depth of in-person interaction, but back in days of old it seems people could have entire love affairs by just writing letters.

    I was happy to see that going to bars has only slightly declined over 30 years.

    Are we socially falling apart? Maybe. Certainly the shape of how we socialize (for good or bad) has changed

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  • Gulag

    This comment by Yves, from my perspective, is right on the money.

    “And readers make clear they are not interested in anything that does not suit their anti-imperialist priors…or on findings that do not conform to erroneous but emotionally appealing story lines.”

    This is why a question, at least put to oneself privately, like “What internally, also accounts for my politics?” seems so worthwhile.

    For myself, this type of self-reflection has raised personal issues linked to my own political ideology sometimes being used primarily as armor, or revenge, or to maintain a degree of certainty that can be quite inappropriate .

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    1. flora

      I quibble with that assessment. I’ve read almost all the dollar posts. They seem to say it all. I have nothing of value to add. So I now skip some of them because I already know the argument, and there are so many links and posts at NC to read. I’m sure new reader gain a lot of new to them information from reading the dollar articles. So much to read, so little time. / ;)

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    2. amfortas

      likely due to the gaslighting from mom…as well as that from that girl’s powerful dad, later…i developed a hard inner core of socratic uncertainty: “i know that i dont know”…which means i am forever questioning my assumptions and memories and ideologies and etc.
      its a difficult way to move through the world, for sho!
      but i really wish theyd begin teaching it in kindergarten.
      because i reckon that it is an essential skillset for the world we’re in, now.

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      1. Gulag

        amfortas consider yourself a lucky man!

        It wasn’t until I was in my earlier 80s that I finally began to realize (with some degree of terror) that deep down I know that I don’t know. To put it mildly, it was an earth-shattering realization.

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  • Jason Boxman

    America is going great!

    American High School Students Are Selling Guns Bound for Cartels (NY Times; archive)

    They are too young to buy a beer and barely old enough to drive, yet these four teenage boys have already found their way into the criminal underworld.

    On weekends, they drive into the Sonoran Desert outside Phoenix. I watched them line up AR-15s and AK-style rifles against their cars, pose for photos and spend the afternoon shooting targets. At night, they head to parties, smoke pot and scroll endlessly through their social media feeds.

    Better than sports gambling I guess?

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    1. Henry Moon Pie

      “At night, they head to parties, smoke pot and scroll endlessly through their social media feeds.”

      Sounds familiar, except for the guns. ;)

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  • badphoton

    On commenting in general, I think to some extent everyone is starving for a win. Or at least the glimmer of a sign of one. It increases your fatigue and dulls your ability to be objective over time.

    I see it in other social contexts as well.

    For more than 30 years I have told those around me that America is headed for a very dark place with no ‘hero’ on the horizon to intervene. I have found that the last few years they have gone from polite disbelief to a sort of desperation to show me concrete signs that as right as I now appear to be they are still justified to continue to believe I am wrong.

    Many people, in small ways and large, can now see the outline of a crash in their own personal world and it frightens them. Even those as wise and experienced as the NC commentariat.

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    1. Henry Moon Pie

      I have hated this Empire since I was 15 (1968), but after a period of youthful revolutionary fervor, settled into hoping for change by peaceful, even electoral means. Obama ended that, and by New Year’s Eve in 2019, I told friends who were Democrats that Bernie was the Last Exit off the Highway to Hell. You were probably right to see the inevitability of today as far back as 30 years ago. Of course, there are those now who trace the Fall, so to speak, to the Enlightenment, to agriculture, even language. I’m still baffled as to why humans seem so obsessed with “progress” and change and growth, when there are plenty of smart animals content to live in their ecological niche, raise families and enjoy the fruits of the Earth.

      The anxiety and fear are building. Somewhere, deep in our psyches, we know what is happening to the planet and to our society. There are people who recognize this and try to prepare people to better weather it. Resilience–personal, family, community–is a precious commodity today.

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      1. amfortas

        “…smart animals content to live in their ecological niche, raise families and enjoy the fruits of the Earth.”

        as an additional reply to you from far above^^^…this, right here…has been the goal of all my doins over the past 32 years.
        not wealth or power…just the ability to take care of me and mine without any unnecessary outside inputs…and then to hand that more or less stable system off to our boys, should they need it(i am certain that they will,lol)

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        1. Henry Moon Pie

          A noble ambition, and one toward you’ve come a long, long way. All in the face of society mostly headed into more dependency on distant and fragile systems. Consumerism is rendering us more and more helpless, something Wendell Berry noted, himself a fellow who raised and trained draft horses, practicing what he preached. Staughton Lynd once recommended to us to first learn a skill useful to people as a prelude to becoming an activist, and follow the Archbishop Romero model, living among the people and being useful. In the case of Lynd and his spouse, Alice, it was decades as Legal Aid lawyers, representing the unrepresented like steelworkers thrown out of work or participants in a prison riot. It makes me think of you at the feed store, while at home, you practice what you preach. People know that in a rural place where the idea of a “reputation” might still live.

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  • Maxwell Johnston

    Re comments —

    NC is my daily go-to site and link to sanity. My MBA professors occasionally admonished me for not speaking up more in class, but I always replied that (coming into business school from the military) I had less to contribute to classroom discussions than my more seasoned classmates, therefore I only spoke up when I had something useful to say. And that’s the same standard that I use when commenting on NC.

    I had no problem with Nat’s use of sarcasm a few days ago. I would only politely suggest that NC has many readers who are not native English speakers, and that my experience of foreign languages is that sarcasm does not translate well. Therefore I avoid it when dealing with non-native English speakers.

    As for the de-dollarization post: I read it (and even clicked through to Mish Shedlock’s link) but had nothing to add, because I agreed with everything. But since we’re here, I will add a personal anecdote which reinforces the blunt fact that the mighty USD is deeply embedded into the international financial system, physically and legally and (perhaps most importantly) psychologically:

    Back in 1997-98, I met in St Pete with my local RU business partner of many years (at a snazzy restaurant on Nevsky Prospekt). He was a natural blabbermouth and I’m a natural listener. He proudly showed me his latest accomplishment! He was now the owner of a shiny new USA corporation (yay!); the usual setup, a Delaware corporation with a Brighton Beach registered address (ha!) and a Latvian bank account. He babbled on about how he now could receive gold-backed dollars and would be set for life. I gently pointed out to him the history of Bretton Woods and Nixon’s 1971 abandonment of the gold peg. He stared at me and said absolutely nothing for a solid two minutes (I enjoyed the silence, it was unprecedented in our relationship). It was as if I had just shattered his entire view of the world. And notwithstanding his USD ignorance, he was about as smart as smart gets: a very successful 1990s entrepreneur.

    I can say from personal experience that you can walk into any dive bar in Siberia and flash a couple of Ben Franklin notes, and amazing things will happen. The bartender will quickly give you the beverage of your choice. The wait staff will treat you attentively. Comely young 20-somethings will approach you (if you’re a male, anyway) and strike up unsolicited conversations.

    The power of the USD is not to be underestimated.

    Please keep up the good work.

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    1. albrt

      We will be wishing the Grover Cleveland ($1000) denomination still existed soon enough.

      I’m kind of surprised Trump hasn’t proposed resuming it with his face on the front.

      Reply ↓

  • jax

    Dear Yves,
    I certainly empathize with your current health insurance situation and hope you have it worked out quickly. I’m a U.S. octogenarian facing the annual churn of Medicare Advantage policies. I hate this time of year, the uncertainty, and the annual rise in costs because I live on social security alone. It’s an insult.

    I read NC in the morning each day. I remember when I read the NYT with my coffee. NC has replaced that for me and while I don’t comment often, I’m enormously enriched by you and your team. I do my insignificant financial contribution to NC monthly. Thank you and Nat and Collin and everyone else writing and commenting here.

    Regarding the fatigue, I’m curious about it too. I marched against Viet Nam and later Iraq and Afghanistan and now Iran. I wonder why Americans aren’t in the streets protesting the Iran debacle, or the poisoning of their water supply, or the recent new roads into National Parks for lumber and mining interests, or … sometimes I wonder if its residue from Covid brain fog or if everyone but a small dedicated group of anarchists is hiding from the surveillance state? I can’t make it out, so I keep asking myself the question: Is this what happens to every declining empire? Do they always put the idiotic, the vulgar, the criminal, and the avaricious into high position while the precariat struggles on less and less?

    Now I’m going to have a walk outside and focus on autumn descending around the Puget Sound.

    Reply ↓

  • Jeff W

    Putin had just announced there will be no more diesel exports until sanctions are lifted. China has halted energy exports when its refiners have been described as the only meaningful remaining global spare capacity. US refiners have scheduled, as in contracted-for maintenance coming, so US output looks destined to drop off even if there are no mishaps like a Gulf hurricane or a big outage.

    I think this video breaks down the situation very thoroughly and cleanly (although it doesn’t mention the scheduled maintenance of the US refiners):

    Max Fisher | The oil apocalypse is here [35:28]
    Here.

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    1. jefemt

      I ran to get a bottle of wine for a dinner the other day, anticipating that with the collapse of the US wine and alcohol industry (clutch yer pearls), that the wine might have dropped a wee bit.
      No drop, it increased , in fact.
      Then I realized that we have some stiff fuel costs. Welll DUH!
      Any demand destruction and theoretical deflation seems destined to be taken up by skyrocketing hydrocarbon costs.

      Hegseth gunning to fire the General!! General Malaise?

      Reply ↓

      1. Jeff W

        Aside from everything else, higher diesel prices will affect everything—that wine gets delivered in a diesel-powered truck as do the inputs for the wine (e.g., the bottle) as well as the gasoline itself. And the heavy machinery used in agriculture runs on diesel also. Max Fisher doesn’t get that micro about it but he does a great job of breaking everything down.

        Reply ↓

  • Jonathan King

    I want to emphasize one element of NC’s coverage that hasn’t been treated at length here: the daily links. In addition to the breadth and sweep of the topics addressed by responsible, generally reliable sources and outlets, I don’t know of another blog or site that consciously posts items contrary to its “priors” as part of its mix without labeling them as such.(“We seek to represent all viewpoints” bla bla bla). Many times the comments contradicting or deriding those posts are ultra-informative, bringing attention to a topic that might not have been responded to so fully if a more congenial viewpoint had been linked to instead. Since I rely on NC as a tool to challenge my own priors, I appreciate those curveball posts (if such they be) as much as the others.

    Reply ↓

    1. Jeremy Grimm

      1,199 donors with a target of 1350? That is the number I watch and wonder at. I would guess that a lot of people who read NakedCapitalism might be slow to comment, I was once one of those people. What I understand much less well are the numbers of people who contribute to funding this website. The numbers I cannot comprehend, 1,199 donors as I write this comment and a target of 1350 donors. This just does not match my estimate of the number of readers and sometime commenters to this site.

      Scout around the web. Look high and low, and if you are aware of any site anywhere on the web that offers a daily compendium of links or analysis and commentary of comparable quality, please, please, please send in some links to those sites. I am an old guy who has tooled around the web for many years hunting for news, analysis, and some insight into the madness I see in today’s world and most news about the world. I can understand only too well not having the scratch to make a large contribution, but who is so poor they cannot contribute $10 or $20. Dollars are important but so are the numbers of contributors. And be sure to tell your friends about NakedCapitalism.

      I scan around the web and search out sites with news, scientific or engineering reports, and opinion on many topics. I have yet to locate any comparable sources for news, and for tracking scientific and engineering advances, or for finding consistently coherent and insightful opinion and commentary, including the commentary in the comments sections.

      If NakedCapitalism were to disappear I would be lost. I believe I would not be alone in that.

      Reply ↓

  • DD GE

    You’re no longer invited to dinner
    Reminds me of another article that made the rounds a couple years ago. It was about how Americans, a people prone to forming groups and creating associations for this or that purpose, had gradually been doing it less and less, from the 50s onward. Reasons invoked : a TV into every home and the “suburbanisation” of the habitat.

    Today’s is actually the follow up to that. First associative life retreated but we still invited friends over, then even that suffered. We stacked new tech on top of the old but it didn’t counter the effect, rather it accelerated it, like a positive feedback loop. A Great Withdrawal of sorts.

    Finally, the Covid effect. We all knew some things never came back the way they were, but to see it graphically illustrated really hits. If times were “normal”, it may have taken us a decade, at worst a generation to socially recover, BUT since then the crises have compounded. Ain’t no tellin’ where this leads.

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    1. GlassHammer

      Tech’s effects on daily habits is the culprit but… trying to explain why is like explaining the negative effects of smoking during its heyday…it’s too antithetical to what many see as normal”.

      And just like smoking we are only slowly getting a grasp on the negative effects for children, adults though, they might be another decade or more to see even a slight negative to their lives.

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  • AG

    Cooool

    Ian Proud after returning from Valdai was detained by UK police for 5 hours.

    DETAINED BY UK COUNTER-TERRORISM POLICE AT HEATHROW: BRITAIN BECOMES MORE TOTALITARIAN

    Join me live at 1900 BST on 3 October
    https://thepeacemonger.substack.com/p/detained-by-uk-counter-terrorism

    If I can be arrested for promoting real discussion about peace then anyone who expresses a view that differs from the government’s can be too.

    On the night of 2 October, when I arrived at Heathrow following a visit to the Valdai discussion club in Moscow (27 September – 1 October) five members of UK Counter-Terrorism police were waiting for me on the jetway to the plane and took me into custody under the UK Counter-Terrorism and Border Security Act of 2019.

    I was searched, interrogated for 3 hours, had all my electronic devices taken (I had to purchase a new laptop today) and was told that I had no right not to comment.

    My crime? Attending a conference to discuss how to bring peace not only in Ukraine, but elsewhere including Iran, the middle-east etc.

    Join me for a live discussion at 1900 BST today, 3 October, in which i will describe what happened and explain why Free Speech in the UK has never been under so much threat.

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    1. AG

      The coooool was of course ironic.
      Don´t get me wrong.
      I don´t like to see anybody crying live on YT.
      So that is that.

      Reply ↓

  • nigel rooney

    Just to add. The clear-eyed analysis presented on NC is exactly what makes it so valuable, imho.
    And to thank all the contributors and Ms. Smith for all their efforts to keep us reliably well-informed, I’m sure those efforts are very greatly appreciated.

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  • Lena

    Comments about Russia, Ukraine and Eastern Europe remain of consistent high quality at NC in my opinion. I found recent discussions about Russia and the former USSR involving a Siberian commenter to be fascinating. Where but NC could one find that?

    My academic background is in Russian and East European History (my undergraduate minor was in Hungarian Studies because, well, whose isn’t, right?). But I don’t comment on that area of the world because there are much better qualified people here than I, especially on military affairs (not my specialty). Hearing from people who are in Russia and Eastern Europe or have recently been there is invaluable because it gives us on the ground reports. And NC has them in comments! Thank you!

    Also the cat antidotes. More, please.

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    1. amfortas

      aye, Lena. as i said yesterday(???-days all run together, for me)…
      its the geographical, educational/expertise, and ideological and otherwise diversity on NC that makes it an essential place.
      some crazy shit happens in serbia…and here comes a serbian out of the lurker’s vault to explain from down the road from said event,lol.
      i enjoyed the same sort of distributed virtual think tank thing with the old LATOC…but that was rudimentary, compared to what Yves has built.
      (Latoc had an emt on the ground during Katrina, and a guy on a boat rescuing pelicans in the gulf during deepwater horizon, and an underwater drone expert, as well)
      that kind of depth of bench of experience and knowledge is remarkable.
      i understand that yall are just random folks on the system of tubes, but still.
      aside from the wiggly dog, the cats and the barnyard fowl(just glared at 12 geese to leave the catfood be)…NC is what counts for my intellectual social life.

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  • XXYY

    Regarding Yves’ meta-remarks about comments in NC lately:

    Strangely, I was having unformed but perhaps somewhat similar thoughts this week, that NC was lately becoming more “average” as something for me to read every day. I have never thought this before, and so this was accompanied by some feelings of discouragement (though of course it’s not fair to place the slow motion collapse of the entire society at the feet of one blog).

    I’m aware that engineers are prone to looking for technical solutions to problems, and thus I try to avoid reaching for that sphere as a source for ideas when I see something that needs to be improved. But I thought what follows was at least worth bringing up for consideration by our famously enlightened commentariat.

    I was in enthusiastic participant in the Reddit blog back before the whole site was pretty much ruined by the machinations around the IPO and most of the readership and writership fell away. I remember spending hours or days participating in (and often just reading) intense, high energy discussions with other redditors, even on fairly trivial topics or on things I didn’t know much about. I think the reason for that is that the actual blog was (and is) technically set up to promote and encourage back and forth discussion. In particular (a) it is easy for me to find my own previous comments, and (b) I get a notification when someone else replies to one of my comments. These small things seem to provide enough of a nudge that I will go back to my past writings and perhaps add some additional commentary in some cases.

    By contrast, NC (and the vast majority of other blogs) are pretty much “write-only” in the sense that after I hit the post button after writing a comment, I will never revisit that section of comments again. Only very rarely do I reply to someone who replied to one of my comments, just because I never know the reply had happened. I also rarely or never post comments that ask provocative questions, since I’m certain no one will ever answer.

    However, it’s impossible to have a conversation with yourself, and in many cases a conversation takes some back and forth in order to build up enough interest and energy to reach it’s potential. So I suspect that much of what NC readers would like to read and write is left untapped inside heads all over the world, instead of being put down on paper.

    So, I argue and claim that some technical changes in the NC blog itself could do a lot to improve the quantity and quality of the comments appearing.

    P.S.: There’s a writer who goes by the pen name admiral cloudberg that seems to be using Reddit as an ancillary site for collecting comments and discussion for her main blog. Maybe NC could do something similar, at least as a prototype, to see if something like this is going in the right direction.

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    1. amfortas

      i keep the “find in page” thing open, with “amfortas” in the field, and just refresh the page when i wander by the laptop at the wilderness bar and decide i need to sit on a barstump for a bit.
      thats how i keep up with conversations, and etc.

      that said, i’d add to whomever, above, said that maybe sticky pages should be a thing for robust threads, and/or super important posts. its difficult to find them, as time groans on…and the comments are dead, anyways.
      i can remember threads that i would have been a perfect addition to…but was away from the tubes at that time…by which time, everyone had moved on.
      i remain a luddite, and wouldnt know html/whatever if it bit me, tho.

      Reply ↓

  • Reify99

    Stopped by the tip jar earlier.

    I read Naked Capitalism “cover to cover” every day. A dozen years or so. Seldom comment unless I have a quip or, personal experience. These can be lengthy but usually don’t show until toward the end of the day. I tout this site and share articles far and wide.

    Thank you for helping us find our way through the golden age of corruption. I’ll close with this example found today.

    THE WALL STREET JOURNAL: How local police get paid big money for just a few immigration arrests

    https://archive.ph/b2rvB

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  • XXYY

    Also regarding Yves’ meta-remarks about comments in NC lately:

    I’ve also had a bit of a feeling lately that the daily links post is slowly converging with something like Google News, and it struck me that maybe the headings in this post are the source of the problem. Perhaps the person who is doing links for the day feels subconscious pressure to find links for each category and it creates a “quantity over quality” mindset (“oh man, I still haven’t found anything for Old Blighty. Better google England news…”).

    I think what’s needed for the Links post is a curator’s mindset, with the goal of finding strange and weird happenings from odd corners of the internet. Maybe a way to move towards this would be to just ditch the standard headings every day, and either have no headings, or have the writer make up their own as needed.

    Keep up the great work!

    Reply ↓

    1. Jason Boxman

      That’s an interesting idea, maybe adjacent to Kagi’s Small Web that surfaces blogs and other non-commercial links.

      For myself, I find the headings useful, because there’s just too much to delve into, and so I studiously skip things remote from me, such as about the UK or Europe or the ongoing travesty that is the Ukraine War. Mostly I just hone in on finance/economic items and dumpster fire political items, climate, Pandemic when available, and things marked today’s must read. The physics/mathematics/astronomy stuff is often interesting too if beyond me.

      Reply ↓

  • upstater

    Re. Comments and commenters… i am a long time reader, going back to the GFC. Came here through the Oil Drum and recall Yves on PBS Bill Moyers. Dunno when we began contributing, but I scaled it based on my FT print subscription, canceled in 2022 when the SMO began (they should pay us to read propaganda). I do miss that tactile read!

    As many stated, particularly with finance or economics, are subject areas outside of my education, expertise and understanding. That’s what brought me here. I am here to learn in those subject areas, I rarely comment there. De-dollarization, currency sovereignty or MMT have been frequently covered by Yves or guest contributors and I get it… but most people haven’t a clue. The readership here is dynamic and such fundamental points are certainly worth repeating regularly, especially in today’s “information environment”. People come here to learn. If a tree falls in the woods and nobody comments doesn’t mean it didn’t make a sound.

    When I do comment, it is in subject areas I have experience or detailed interest (eg, railroads, Lithuania, electric transmission and reliability, a bit on renewables). I also have read a lot of history and experienced much since the 70s and often comment on those subjects.

    I miss the informed expertise and depth of commenters like Raspberry, Clive and the reduced presence of PK or IMdoc (I sometimes almost thought these people were AI themselves, given the depth and breadth of their comments!) plus others I don’t recall. But sometimes the community response to their positions could be dismissive or even confrontational. Certainly with Raspberry or Clive. What I don’t miss are class clowns. Some snark or levity is OK, but not a dozen daily comments.

    Given today’s information environment, I often fear getting a 404 message someday checking in here. We thankfully have first amendment rights in the US, but who knows what follows… yesterday Ian Proud was detained and his devices seized at LHR, it happened to Max Blumenthal at IAD recently. Things are not pretty.

    This site has been an information anchor for me and my family for close to 2 decades now. I continue to be amazed by the integrity, energy and expertise of Yves and the contributors. Thank you for providing this service for so many years!

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  • Jefferson Davis

    I don’t think you can necessarily take a lack of comments as being ignored. For that particular video, I wouldn’t comment, because I agree with you. I’m not going to post “Yeah, you’re right Yves.”. You’ve stated you want informed commentary, not just metoo nonsense, so if we all agree with some point of view you present, I’m not sure why you would expect a lot of comments pushing back, or saying “Yes, you’re right.”.

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  • AG

    re: Ian Proud & Valdai affair

    This may grow into something larger.

    Proud corresponded with the Moscow Embassy and the FO before he went to Valdai to ask for advice and to preempt possible trouble.

    He now posted part of the email correspondence:

    Did the Foreign Office tip off Counter-Terrorist Police to arrest me?
    My correspondence with the Foreign Office prior to attending the Valdai Discussion Club

    I didn’t go to Moscow in secret with anything to hide, I informed the British government beforehand.

    Prior to attending the Valdai Conference this past week, i was concerned about the risks associated with my attendance. My first step was to consult the former British Ambassador to Moscow for his advice on what I should do.

    https://thepeacemonger.substack.com/p/did-the-foreign-office-tip-off-counter

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  • ocypode

    I haven’t had much time or mental bandwidth to read even articles I’ve been interested here, and I’ve been feeling that commenting is best done when I can actually say something meaningful instead of just commenting, which isn’t all that often. About dedollarization specifically, though I think I ended up not reading that one article, I will say that Yves has convinced me (for a while now) that it’s a long shot. I was much more sanguine about it before I actually understood what it entailed, so I can at least say that for me NC’s general interpretation of BRICS and the supposed multipolar dynamics at work have felt a lot more realistic, even though I would in principle prefer happier news (the truth isn’t always easy, as it goes).

    As for the Iran situation, I’ve barely been following it but I am of the impression that it’ll take until next year for things to really hit the fan, with the actual depletion of reserves, high food prices from the fertilizer problems, etc. So I expect for us to see more or less the current situation for a while until something important fails and potentially causes a cascade of failures, with a lot of changes happening very fast. Credit where credit’s due, the arsonists in power have managed to delay the worst effects for a while (potentially at the cost of causing much worse effects later down the line). It remains to be seen for how long.

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  • ThirtyOne

    Iran War

    Will Schryver
    @imetatronink
    22h
    I note that Col. Douglas MacGregor is predicting an American ground invasion of Iran.

    I will repeat what I have said many times: there is ZERO probability of a US ground invasion of Iran. It cannot be done and will not happen.

    Oct 3, 2026 · 1:19 AM UTC
    ____
    What follows is tweet after tweet of “yeah but”. Quite funny to read.

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  • BrianC - PDX

    On commenting…

    Better to not comment and be thought a fool, than to comment and remove all doubt. (Which goes through my mind every time I start to write out a comment, only to delete it before posting it.)

    I do appreciate the site very much.

    One thing that helps to keep sane is to think about your span of control. I may not, individually be able to change the course of events at a macro level, but locally each of us can take the time to make our small part of the world a little better. Even if it is just being nice to the people we meet day to day.

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  • Jonathan Holland Becnel

    Yall are doing fantastic work, Yves.

    I know I use yalls information to do IRL organizing and trying to foment American Revolution 2 over here in Louisiana.

    Everything is super expensive rn as I see members of my family struggling, so of course there’s gonna be a drop off in money coming in.

    We are all learning political economics from yall and are becoming increasingly smarter.

    I would hope that we are applying what we learn to our local situation which would require less screen time on NC naturally.

    PATRIOTS OF THE WORLD UNITE AGAINST THE EPSTEIN EMPIRE

    TIME TO THIRD PARTY THE DUOPOLY USING ECONOMIC POPULISM FOR AMERICAS 250TH

    🇺🇸🫡

    Reply ↓

  • ACPAL

    Months ago I felt I was getting less and less from NC. To my surprise under “Dear patient readers” I read that It wasn’t just me. Over the decades I’ve seen several good sites rise, stagnate, then fail leaving many participants frustrated. NC was already well established when I started adding my 2 cents and I was getting more out of the comments than from the articles. I see that not even NC has not been able to avoid the disappointing trend.

    About thirty years ago I began a study and analysis of world events which took about 5 years. The purpose was to provide myself with an unbiased view of likely future events so that I could plan my own future. The analysis told me that I should leave the US as soon as possible. I obtained passports for the family and began reading up on possible expat sites. Of course shit happened. Nearly all of the study’s predictions have now come true but I now live in rural SW Idaho where we’re mostly isolated from the worst of those predictions. We were also isolated from the worst of the Covid pandemic and neither of us caught it.

    Back to NC. I can no longer perform such an analysis but the broad range of what I’ve read on NC and other news and commentary sites has allowed me to extend the previous analysis for perhaps another year or two. My location in Idaho still provides some isolation, even from nuclear war, but those who consider the world situation as a collection of localized problems that can be managed are, in my opinion, delusional. Just as web sites grow, stabilize, and fade the world is now following the same path. In my opinion conflicts throughout Europe, Asia, Middle East, Africa, North and South America, and even the Arctic, have passed the stagnation point and the world is quickly deteriorating. So many of the governments, especially the US, UK, and Europe have become not only irrational but in fact psychotic that the world is beyond recovery. Add to that much of the world is run by oligarchs who care about nothing but their own wealth, an epidemic of AI engines that have already proven uncontrollable, spy agencies run amok, nearly every developed nation developing viruses for warfare, and the list goes on. If I were to describe the world in one word it would be “Hopeless.”

    I appreciate all I’ve learned from NC and those individuals who’ve spent countless hours making it the great site it has been. I may even be wrong and everything is going to come up roses. I hope so but I’m not going to bet my life on it.

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    1. bystander

      Are you reading the same site as the rest of us? Hard to believe you are.

      NC is proving the best Iran war coverage out there. It was similarly very good on the Ukraine war. Yves had added Haig with his war-making coverage, Nat with deep dives on US politics, Curro with his many interests, semper with his movie feature….and yet you say with a straight face that the site has stagnated? It covers more that it did before and at an extremely high standard.

      What you must mean is you don’t like geopolitics and want more finance. That is the only way your view remotely makes sense.

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  • Chris K.

    “Why should I bother … when no one is interested?” Oh my gosh, this is sooo untrue. Your analyses are always welcome! I am one of your readers who, until now, has not felt qualified to venture an opinion or offer additional insight in the Comments. But I am 100% qualified to say this: You cannot judge the appeal of anything you write to your reading audience simply by the number of comments you receive. Just keep writing on those topics you and your fellow team members deem important. I love tapping into the superior brain power you bring to the table and would be terribly disappointed if you changed the kinds of topics you write about or the depth to which you delve into them. There are a lot of really smart people in the world but only a handful are like you— willing to share their gift with others to “do good.” Thank you. And thank you, again.

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  • Alice X

    I read these comments 12 hours ago and just again now I’m barely half way through, apologies to those others.

    To my mind; Yves has sparked a remarkable exposition of the depth of thinking hereabouts.

    From my mind; a labor of love is a labor for truth.

    Knowing that one must keep on.

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  • Keith Newman

    Re comments:
    I would like to echo what many others have written, ie that if I have nothing useful to add I don’t make a comment. I do have quite a bit of hands on experience in labour issues, manoeuvering in hierarchical organisations, election campaigns, certain economic matters, and some knowledge of monetary operations. Many years ago I also worked as a food chemist.
    But, re the topic at hand, I have no personal insight into the issue of US dollar hegemony. Nonetheless I was very interested in Yves’ latest very persuasive post and passed it on to a friend. The lack of a comment by me was not a sign of lack of interest.

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  • Jason Boxman

    Somalia won’t accept Israeli presence ‘under any circumstances’: President (Al Jazeera)

    Somalia will not accept Israeli presence in the country “under any circumstances” and will resist any attempts to be pulled into the Middle East’s crises, its President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud tells Al Jazeera.

    Speaking in an exclusive interview, Mohamud said that Israel was planning to establish a naval base in Berbera and use the city’s airport, adding that its real aim was to get closer to the Gulf states and Iran.

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